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Marl-Huls vs Hammer SpVgg.

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2017/2018
Sun, Mar 11, 2018
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marl-Huls play Hammer SpVgg. in the Oberliga Westfalen 2017/2018. Marl-Huls are favorites here. Recently, Marl-Huls averaged 1 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. Hammer SpVgg. averaged 1.42 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Marl-Huls won 1, Hammer SpVgg. won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 11, 2018 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Marl-Huls and 1.00 for Hammer SpVgg.. This points to a Marl-Huls double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Marl-Huls
25%
Draws
15%
Hammer SpVgg.
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Marl-Huls

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Marl-Huls picked up more points recently compared to Hammer SpVgg..
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Marl-Huls Clean Sheet 23%
Hammer SpVgg. Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marl-Huls Hammer SpVgg.
Matches Played 4 31
Wins 1 9
Draws 1 7
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 1 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.75 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2018 Oberliga Westfalen
Marl-Huls vs Hammer SpVgg.
0:0
Sep 10, 2017 Oberliga Westfalen
Hammer SpVgg. vs Marl-Huls
3:0
May 14, 2017 Oberliga Westfalen
Hammer SpVgg. vs Marl-Huls
1:1
Nov 27, 2016 Oberliga Westfalen
Marl-Huls vs Hammer SpVgg.
1:5
Apr 8, 2016 Oberliga Westfalen
Marl-Huls vs Hammer SpVgg.
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marl-Huls 59 / 100
Hammer SpVgg. 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marl-Huls Hammer SpVgg.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marl-Huls Win (1)
Secondary Pick Marl-Huls & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Marl-Huls attacking → ← attacking Hammer SpVgg.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marl-Huls scored in 50% of their last 4 games.

Hammer SpVgg. let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Marl-Huls went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Hammer SpVgg. lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

4 Points in last 5 34
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lippstadt30186656:3360
21.FC Kaan-Marienborn30186647:2960
3ASC 09 Dortmund30185770:4459
4Hammer SpVgg.301510564:3155
5TuS Haltern301731044:3654
6Schalke II30158751:2453
7Brunninghausen301551062:5550
8Eintracht Rheine301251354:6241
9Westfalia Herne309101152:5637
10Sprockhovel30981352:5835
11Siegen30961546:5433
12TUS Ennepetal30951641:5932
13Paderborn II30851750:5729
14Ahlen30781541:5829
15Arminia Bielefeld II30722133:6723
16Gutersloh30561924:6421
17Marl-Huls00000:00
18SC Hassel00000:00