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Marmosim vs CSM Resita

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Liga 3 - Seria 5 2010/2011 encounter between Marmosim and CSM Resita promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Marmosim averages 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. CSM Resita shows a form average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Marmosim, 1 wins for CSM Resita, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 16.03.12 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.04 for Marmosim and 1.30 for CSM Resita, suggesting the primary value lies in the Marmosim double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Marmosim
17%
Draws
37%
CSM Resita
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Marmosim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Marmosim picked up more points recently compared to CSM Resita.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Marmosim Clean Sheet 19%
CSM Resita Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marmosim CSM Resita
Matches Played 35 41
Wins 18 20
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.89 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

16.03.12 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Resita vs Marmosim
0:1
19.08.11 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Marmosim vs CSM Resita
0:0
13.05.11 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Resita vs Marmosim
0:1
12.11.10 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Marmosim vs CSM Resita
6:0
28.05.10 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Resita vs Marmosim
2:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Marmosim

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

CSM Resita

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marmosim 45 / 100
CSM Resita 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marmosim CSM Resita

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Marmosim or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Marmosim 51%
CSM Resita 30%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Marmosim 44%
CSM Resita 39%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Marmosim 46%
CSM Resita 37%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Marmosim 48%
CSM Resita 35%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Marmosim 41%
CSM Resita 41%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Marmosim 53%
CSM Resita 43%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Marmosim attacking → ← attacking CSM Resita

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marmosim have found the net in 86% of their last 35 matches.

CSM Resita have conceded at least one goal in 66% of their last 41 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.20 goals per match.

Marmosim remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

CSM Resita suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 65
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Luceafarul Oradea26185354:2059
2Poli Timisoara26154746:3049
3Marmosim26129550:2245
4Caransebes26136735:2245
5Politehnica Timisoara II26125942:3641
6Corvinul Hunedoara26125939:2841
7Sebis26971023:2734
8CSM Resita26951223:3232
9Sannicolau26951228:3532
10Giarmata26871135:4131
11Gloria Arad26781131:3429
12Bihorul Beius26751426:5326
13Nuova26651527:4223
14Termo Drobeta26541718:5519