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Maroons vs Blacks Power

Uganda Uganda

Premier League Mutesa II Stadium, Kampala
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Match Events

38' Event
49' Event
67' Event

AI Match Summary

Blacks Power in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blacks Power.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Maroons
15%
Draws
58%
Blacks Power
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blacks Power

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Blacks Power have won more games recently than Maroons.
  • Model gives Blacks Power a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Blacks Power have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Maroons Clean Sheet 15%
Blacks Power Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maroons Blacks Power
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.97 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Premier League
Maroons vs Blacks Power
1:2
Apr 18, 2023 Premier League
Blacks Power vs Maroons
1:0
Nov 15, 2022 Premier League
Maroons vs Blacks Power
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maroons 11 / 100
Blacks Power 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maroons Blacks Power

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blacks Power Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maroons found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Blacks Power let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Maroons has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maroons VS Blacks Power
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maroons

(Home)
08 Sept
Maroons
1 : 2
Blacks Power
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
30 Aug
Maroons
1 : 2
Uganda Revenue
23 May
Lugazi
0 : 1
Maroons
19 May
Maroons
0 : 3
Vipers
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Blacks Power

(Away)
08 Sept
Maroons
1 : 2
Blacks Power
02 Sept
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Police
29 Aug
Blacks Power
1 : 0
Ntugasaze
06 Jun
Onduparaka
0 : 0
Blacks Power
24 May
Blacks Power
4 : 0
Mbale Heroes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Blacks Power 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
3 NEC FC 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
4 Villa 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
5 Lugazi 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
6 Entebbe UPPC 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
7 Police 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
8 Uganda Revenue 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Express FC 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
10 Maroons 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
11 UPDF FC 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
12 Kitara 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 Kigezi HomeBoyz 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Mbarara City 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
15 Kataka 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
16 Kampala City 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
17 Vipers 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Ntugasaze 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)