Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maroons vs BUL

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 Luzira Maximum Prisons Stadium, Kampala
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Mayanja I.

AI Match Summary

Maroons in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maroons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Maroons
35%
Draws
24%
BUL
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maroons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: BUL at 1.04 per game, Maroons at 0.86.
  • Maroons are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Maroons Clean Sheet 68%
BUL Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maroons BUL
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Premier League
Maroons vs BUL
1:0
Oct 1, 2025 Premier League
BUL vs Maroons
1:0
May 14, 2025 Premier League
BUL vs Maroons
1:0
Nov 29, 2024 Premier League
Maroons vs BUL
0:0
Feb 23, 2024 Premier League
Maroons vs BUL
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maroons Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayanja I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

BUL Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maroons 46 / 100
BUL 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maroons BUL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BUL let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Maroons went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Maroons's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Maroons VS BUL
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maroons

(Home)
23 May
Lugazi
0 : 1
Maroons
19 May
Maroons
0 : 3
Vipers
12 May
Maroons
0 : 0
Entebbe UPPC
07 May
Kampala City
3 : 0
Maroons
28 Apr
Uganda Revenue
2 : 2
Maroons
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BUL

(Away)
23 May
Entebbe UPPC
4 : 0
BUL
19 May
BUL
1 : 1
Kitara
12 May
BUL
0 : 0
Lugazi
08 May
Villa
0 : 0
BUL
28 Apr
BUL
0 : 1
NEC FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)