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Maroons vs Calvary

Uganda Uganda

Premier League
Maroons Logo

Maroons

0 - 0
FT
Calvary Logo

Calvary

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Maroons and Calvary finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Maroons
35%
Draws
40%
Calvary
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Calvary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maroons come out ahead of Calvary on wins alone.
  • Calvary are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.6%
Maroons Clean Sheet 24%
Calvary Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maroons Calvary
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Premier League
Calvary vs Maroons
0:1
Oct 22, 2025 Premier League
Maroons vs Calvary
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maroons 29 / 100
Calvary 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maroons Calvary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calvary has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Maroons went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Maroons's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Maroons VS Calvary
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maroons

(Home)
23 May
Lugazi
0 : 1
Maroons
19 May
Maroons
0 : 3
Vipers
12 May
Maroons
0 : 0
Entebbe UPPC
07 May
Kampala City
3 : 0
Maroons
28 Apr
Uganda Revenue
2 : 2
Maroons
Page 1 of 6

Calvary

(Away)
23 May
Calvary
2 : 0
NEC FC
19 May
UPDF FC
0 : 0
Calvary
12 May
Uganda Revenue
1 : 1
Calvary
06 May
Calvary
1 : 0
Police
29 Apr
Entebbe UPPC
2 : 0
Calvary
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)