Sport Picks

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Maroons vs Vipers

Uganda Uganda

Premier League 2025/2026 Luzira Maximum Prisons Stadium, Kampala
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Sentamu Y.
45' Event
Usama A.
58' Event
Watambala K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Maroons and Vipers finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vipers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Maroons
20%
Draws
36%
Vipers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maroons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Vipers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Vipers taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Vipers here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Maroons Clean Sheet 17%
Vipers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maroons Vipers
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 0.93 1.66
Goals Conceded 1 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.68 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premier League
Maroons vs Vipers
0:3
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Vipers vs Maroons
2:1
Apr 24, 2025 Premier League
Maroons vs Vipers
0:1
Jan 6, 2025 Premier League
Vipers vs Maroons
1:0
Apr 23, 2024 Premier League
Vipers vs Maroons
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maroons Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Vipers Compare

Top Goalscorer Sentamu Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Usama A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maroons 28 / 100
Vipers 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maroons Vipers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vipers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Maroons scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Vipers let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Maroons remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maroons VS Vipers
0.86 Goals Scored 1.5
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.5
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maroons

(Home)
17 Sept
UPDF FC
1 : 0
Maroons
08 Sept
Maroons
1 : 2
Blacks Power
02 Sept
Ntugasaze
1 : 3
Maroons
30 Aug
Maroons
1 : 2
Uganda Revenue
23 May
Lugazi
0 : 1
Maroons
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Vipers

(Away)
19 Sept
Vipers
3 : 0
Ntugasaze
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
28 Aug
Vipers
0 : 1
Entebbe UPPC
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vipers 30 19 10 1 55:17 67
2 Kampala City 30 19 5 6 46:22 62
3 Villa 30 18 7 5 47:17 61
4 Kitara 30 16 8 6 43:22 56
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 51
6 NEC FC 30 13 12 5 31:22 51
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 37
11 Uganda Revenue 30 5 16 9 27:30 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 9 15 26:46 27
13 Lugazi 30 5 10 15 19:36 25
14 UPDF FC 30 5 7 18 24:41 22
15 Calvary 30 4 9 17 14:39 21
16 Buhimba 30 4 3 23 16:66 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League (Main)