Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marquense vs Coban Imperial

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada, San Marcos
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Rodas M.
12' Event
Paredes S.
38' Event
Flores D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Marquense and Coban Imperial finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marquense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Marquense
35%
Draws
19%
Coban Imperial
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Marquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Marquense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Marquense Clean Sheet 20%
Coban Imperial Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marquense Coban Imperial
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 11
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.03 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Coban Imperial
2:1
Mar 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Coban Imperial
3:1
Jan 27, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Marquense
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Marquense
3:0
Aug 11, 2025 Liga Nacional
Marquense vs Coban Imperial
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marquense Compare

Top Goalscorer Flores D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rodas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Coban Imperial Compare

Top Goalscorer Paredes S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marquense 32 / 100
Coban Imperial 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marquense Coban Imperial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Marquense scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Coban Imperial conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Marquense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marquense VS Coban Imperial
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marquense

(Home)
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Marquense
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
10 Sept
Comunicaciones
0 : 2
Marquense
06 Sept
Marquense
0 : 4
Xelaju
29 Aug
Guastatoya
1 : 2
Marquense
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Coban Imperial

(Away)
20 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 1
Coban Imperial
13 Sept
Coban Imperial
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
11 Sept
Xelaju
0 : 0
Coban Imperial
06 Sept
Coban Imperial
0 : 1
Guastatoya
29 Aug
Suchitepequez
3 : 2
Coban Imperial
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xelaju 22 11 6 5 34:19 39
2 Municipal 22 11 5 6 32:21 38
3 Deportivo Mixco 22 10 6 6 30:26 36
4 Comunicaciones 22 11 2 9 28:26 35
5 Antigua 22 9 7 6 34:29 34
6 Coban Imperial 22 8 8 6 29:22 32
7 Guastatoya 22 8 7 7 29:21 31
8 Marquense 22 9 3 10 25:29 30
9 Mictlan 22 7 6 9 25:36 27
10 Malacateco 22 6 4 12 19:25 22
11 Aurora F.C. 22 4 8 10 14:30 20
12 Deportivo Achuapa 22 5 4 13 17:32 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)