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Marretinha W vs Guara W

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marretinha W play Guara W in the Paraibano Women. Marretinha W are favorites here. Recently, Marretinha W averaged 3.82 goals scored and 2.55 conceded. Guara W averaged 0.75 goals scored and 8.5 conceded. In past meetings, Marretinha W won 1, Guara W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 25, 2025 ended 13:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Marretinha W and 1.00 for Guara W. This points to a Marretinha W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Marretinha W
15%
Draws
28%
Guara W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marretinha W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Marretinha W picked up more points recently compared to Guara W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 56%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 19%
Marretinha W Clean Sheet 23%
Guara W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marretinha W Guara W
Matches Played 11 4
Wins 5 1
Draws 2 0
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 3.82 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.55 8.5
Expected Goals (xG) 5.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 8.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Paraibano Women
Marretinha W vs Guara W
13:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marretinha W 56 / 100
Guara W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marretinha W Guara W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marretinha W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Marretinha W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.2%
1.14
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Marretinha W attacking → ← attacking Guara W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marretinha W scored in 73% of their last 11 games.

Guara W let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 13.00 goals.

Marretinha W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Guara W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 3
5.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 8.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mixto PB W440031:112
2Marretinha W421118:107
3Fluminense-PB W41218:55
4Guara W41033:343
5Serrano PB W40132:121
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Botafogo PB W440049:112
2Spartax W421119:37
3Kashima W42117:67
4Liga de Guarabira W41036:343
5Picuiense W40043:400