Sport Picks

Malta

FA Trophy 2018/2019

Marsa

5 - 1

Gharghur

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Gauci M.

(Penalty)

19'

de Fex R.

28'

Bonello S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marsa in this FA Trophy 2018/2019 tie, finishing 5-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Marsa

20%

Draws

42%

Gharghur

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gharghur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Marsa at 1.45 per game, Gharghur at 1.37.
Model gives Marsa a 38% chance of winning this.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Marsa, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Marsa have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Marsa Clean Sheet 16%

Gharghur Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Marsa	Gharghur
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	6	6
Draws	7	5
Losses	20	19
Goals Scored	1.45	1.37
Goals Conceded	2.09	2.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.17	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2018 FA Trophy

Marsa vs Gharghur

5:1

Feb 11, 2017 Challenge League

Gharghur vs Marsa

1:0

Oct 16, 2016 Challenge League

Marsa vs Gharghur

5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marsa Compare

Top Goalscorer de Fex R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Farrugia M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.9

Avg xA / game 0.58

Gharghur Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonello S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marsa 84 / 100

Gharghur 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Marsa Gharghur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marsa Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gharghur conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Marsa scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Marsa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marsa VS -

1.13 Goals Scored 0

2 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

75% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marsa

(Home)

18 Apr

Zebbug

1 : 1

Marsa

11 Apr

Marsa

5 : 0

Mtarfa

01 Apr

Zurrieq

2 : 1

Marsa

14 Mar

Santa Lucia

0 : 1

Marsa

08 Mar

Marsa

3 : 3

Gudja

Page 1 of 7

Gharghur

(Away)

26 Oct

Rabat Ajax

4 : 1

Gharghur

14 Sept

Sannat Lions

0 : 1

Gharghur

27 Oct

Marsa

5 : 1

Gharghur

09 Sept

Gharghur

3 : 1

Xaghra

02 Sept

Qala Saints

1 : 3

Gharghur

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Balzan FC -

TBD -

Sannat Lions 2

Xbiex 0

Marsaskala FC 0

Dingli Swallows 4

TBD -

Qrendi -

Gudja -

TBD -

Sirens -

Mqabba FC -

TBD -

Ghajnsielem 8

Oratory 0

TBD -

Xewkija -

Zebbug -

TBD -

Marsaxlokk -

Santa Lucia -

TBD -

Birzebbuga -

Vittoriosa -

TBD -

Kercem Ajax -

TBD -

Kirkop -

TBD -

Tarxien -

Mosta FC -

TBD -

Senglea -

St. Andrews -

TBD -

Sliema -

Hamrun -

TBD -

Floriana -

Nadur 4

Munxar 0

TBD -

Zurrieq -

TBD -

Zabbar -

TBD -

Birkirkara -

Gzira -

TBD -

Luqa -

TBD -

Rabat Ajax -

Siggiewi -

TBD -

Attard -

TBD -

Msida 0

Victoria Hotspurs 8

Swieqi -

TBD -

Melita -

Zejtun -

TBD -

Naxxar Lions -

St. Venera -

TBD -

Pembroke -

Mdina -

TBD -

Zebbug Rovers -

Xghajra -

TBD -

Gharb -

TBD -

Pieta -

Hibernians -

TBD -

Qormi -

San Gwann -

TBD -

Mgarr -

Ghaxaq 2

St. Lawrence 0

Mtarfa 0

Victoria Wanderers 10

TBD -

Fgura -

Lija -

TBD -

St. George's FC -

Kalkara -

TBD -

Mellieha -

Marsa -

TBD -

Xaghra -

TBD -

Qala Saints 1

Gharghur 3

TBD -

Valletta -

1/64-finals

Balzan FC -

TBD -

Sannat Lions 2

Dingli Swallows 1

TBD -

Qrendi -

Gudja -

TBD -

Sirens -

Mqabba FC -

TBD -

Ghajnsielem 0

Xewkija 2

Zebbug -

TBD -

Marsaxlokk -

Santa Lucia -

TBD -

Birzebbuga -

Vittoriosa -

TBD -

Kercem Ajax 1

Kirkop 2

TBD -

Tarxien -

Mosta FC -

TBD -

Senglea -

St. Andrews -

TBD -

Sliema -

Hamrun -

TBD -

Floriana -

Nadur 4

Zurrieq 0

TBD -

Zabbar -

TBD -

Birkirkara -

Gzira -

TBD -

Luqa -

TBD -

Rabat Ajax -

Siggiewi -

TBD -

Attard 1

Victoria Hotspurs 4

Swieqi -

TBD -

Melita -

Zejtun -

TBD -

Naxxar Lions -

St. Venera -

TBD -

Pembroke -

Mdina 1

Zebbug Rovers 0

Xghajra 1

Gharb 2

TBD -

Pieta -

Hibernians -

TBD -

Qormi -

San Gwann -

TBD -

Mgarr -

Ghaxaq 1

Victoria Wanderers 0

TBD -

Fgura -

Lija -

TBD -

St. George's FC -

Kalkara -

TBD -

Mellieha -

Marsa -

TBD -

Xaghra 1

Gharghur 3

TBD -

Valletta -

1/32-finals

Balzan FC -

TBD -

Sannat Lions 0

Qrendi 3

Gudja 2

Sirens 1

Mqabba FC 1

Xewkija 6

Zebbug 1

Marsaxlokk 0

Santa Lucia 2

Birzebbuga 3

Vittoriosa 2

Kirkop 1

TBD -

Tarxien -

Mosta FC -

TBD -

Senglea -

St. Andrews -

TBD -

Sliema -

Hamrun -

TBD -

Floriana -

Nadur 7

Zabbar 0

TBD -

Birkirkara -

Gzira -

TBD -

Luqa 0

Rabat Ajax 5

Siggiewi 2

Victoria Hotspurs 1

Swieqi 0

Melita 1

Zejtun 2

Naxxar Lions 1

St. Venera 0

Pembroke 3

Mdina 2

Gharb 1

TBD -

Pieta -

Hibernians -

TBD -

Qormi -

San Gwann 2

Mgarr 1

Ghaxaq 1

Fgura 4

Lija 4

St. George's FC 0

Kalkara 0

Mellieha 2

Marsa 5

Gharghur 1

TBD -

Valletta -

1/16-finals

Balzan FC 5

Qrendi 1

Gudja 1

Xewkija 2

Zebbug 5

Birzebbuga 0

Vittoriosa 0

Tarxien 3

Mosta FC 3

Senglea 2

St. Andrews 0

Sliema 2

Hamrun 1

Floriana 0

Nadur 0

Birkirkara 4

Gzira 4

Rabat Ajax 0

Siggiewi 1

Melita 3

Zejtun 2

Pembroke 0

Mdina 1

Pieta 4

Hibernians 5

Qormi 1

San Gwann 0

Fgura 1

Lija 5

Mellieha 0

Marsa 0

Valletta 3

1/8-finals

Balzan FC 6

Xewkija 1

Zebbug 0

Tarxien 5

Mosta FC 2

Sliema 1

Hamrun 1

Birkirkara 2

Gzira 4

Melita 2

Zejtun 0

Pieta 2

Hibernians 4

Fgura 0

Lija 1

Valletta 7

Quarter-finals

Balzan FC 2

Tarxien 0

Mosta FC 1

Birkirkara 2

Gzira 2

Pieta 1

Hibernians 2

Valletta 3

Semi-finals

Balzan FC 3

Birkirkara 2

Gzira 0

Valletta 2

Final

Balzan FC 5

Valletta 4

Marsa vs Gharghur

Malta

Marsa

Gharghur

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Marsa Compare

Gharghur Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Marsa

Gharghur

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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