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Marseille II vs Pontarlier

France France

National 2 - Group A 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2018/2019 game between Marseille II and Pontarlier finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marseille II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Marseille II
15%
Draws
34%
Pontarlier
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marseille II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Marseille II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Marseille II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Marseille II Clean Sheet 14%
Pontarlier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marseille II Pontarlier
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1.31 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2019 National 1 - Group A
Marseille II vs Pontarlier
4:0
Dec 1, 2018 National 1 - Group A
Pontarlier vs Marseille II
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marseille II 84 / 100
Pontarlier 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marseille II Pontarlier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marseille II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marseille II scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Pontarlier let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Marseille II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marseille II VS Pontarlier
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marseille II

(Home)
09 Aug
Villefranche
1 : 2
Marseille II
26 Jul
Marignane GCB
1 : 3
Marseille II
28 May
Rumilly Vallieres
3 : 1
Marseille II
21 May
Marseille II
1 : 2
Martigues
14 May
Monaco II
2 : 4
Marseille II
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Pontarlier

(Away)
15 Nov
Pontarlier
2 : 3
Sochaux
07 Jan
Pontarlier
0 : 3
Lyon
09 Dec
Sarre Union
0 : 1
Pontarlier
18 Nov
Colmar
0 : 1
Pontarlier
07 Feb
Pontarlier
0 : 3
Fleury-Merogis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulon 30 16 11 3 43:25 59
2 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 17 6 7 51:38 57
3 Annecy 30 15 9 6 50:34 53
4 Jura Sud 30 13 11 6 43:30 50
5 Athletico Marseille 30 14 5 11 57:46 47
6 Marseille Endoume 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
7 Hyeres 30 11 8 11 29:33 41
8 Saint Priest 30 11 7 12 39:42 40
9 Martigues 30 10 11 9 40:30 40
10 RC Grasse 30 10 9 11 35:42 39
11 GOAL FC 30 11 6 13 32:39 39
12 Lyon II 30 10 7 13 56:47 37
13 Marseille II 30 10 5 15 50:57 35
14 Monaco II 30 9 6 15 44:52 33
15 Pontarlier 30 5 7 18 20:53 22
16 Nice II 30 5 5 20 41:70 20
Promotion - National 2019/2020 (Main)