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Marseille II vs Tarbes

France France

National 2 - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2017/2018 game between Marseille II and Tarbes finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tarbes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Marseille II
20%
Draws
29%
Tarbes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marseille II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marseille II come out ahead of Tarbes on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Marseille II taking it.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Marseille II Clean Sheet 18%
Tarbes Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marseille II Tarbes
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1.2 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.71 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2018 National 1 - Group A
Marseille II vs Tarbes
1:2
Dec 20, 2017 National 1 - Group A
Tarbes vs Marseille II
1:0
Apr 15, 2017 National 2 - Group D
Marseille II vs Tarbes
1:0
Nov 26, 2016 National 2 - Group D
Tarbes vs Marseille II
2:1
Feb 20, 2016 National 1 - Group C
Marseille II vs Tarbes
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marseille II 76 / 100
Tarbes 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marseille II Tarbes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marseille II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tarbes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Marseille II's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Marseille II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marseille II VS Tarbes
1.13 Goals Scored 0.33
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.83
100% Over 1.5 33%
75% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marseille II

(Home)
09 Aug
Villefranche
1 : 2
Marseille II
26 Jul
Marignane GCB
1 : 3
Marseille II
28 May
Rumilly Vallieres
3 : 1
Marseille II
21 May
Marseille II
1 : 2
Martigues
14 May
Monaco II
2 : 4
Marseille II
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Tarbes

(Away)
12 Sept
Tarbes
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
05 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0 : 0
Tarbes
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
22 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0
Tarbes
17 Jul
Pau
3 : 0
Tarbes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marignane GCB 30 17 6 7 39:25 57
2 Toulon 30 17 6 7 41:25 57
3 Colomiers 30 14 9 7 43:27 51
4 Bergerac 30 13 10 7 43:28 49
5 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 14 7 9 41:32 49
6 Martigues 30 13 8 9 42:33 47
7 Sete 30 11 13 6 42:25 46
8 Monaco II 30 11 10 9 44:33 43
9 RC Grasse 30 9 12 9 32:31 39
10 Hyeres 30 8 12 10 35:32 36
11 Nice II 30 10 5 15 31:48 35
12 Stade Montois 30 8 8 14 32:46 32
13 Stade Bordelais 30 8 9 13 28:39 31
14 Marseille II 30 6 10 14 31:46 28
15 Tarbes 30 7 5 18 32:60 26
16 Pezenas 30 5 8 17 19:45 21
Promotion - National 2018/2019 (Main)