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Marseille vs Girona

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Estadi de la FAF, Encamp
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Lopez D.
35' Event
Greenwood M.
(Penalty)
42'
Stuani C.

AI Match Summary

Marseille in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marseille.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Marseille
44%
Draws
20%
Girona
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marseille lately — more wins on the board than Girona.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Marseille Clean Sheet 20%
Girona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marseille Girona
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 3 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Marseille vs Girona
2:0
Aug 3, 2016 Club Friendly
Girona vs Marseille
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marseille 36 / 100
Girona 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marseille Girona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Girona has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Marseille scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Marseille stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marseille VS Girona
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marseille

(Home)
25 Jul
Marseille
0 : 3
Nice
17 May
Marseille
3 : 1
Rennes
10 May
Le Havre
0 : 1
Marseille
02 May
Nantes
3 : 0
Marseille
26 Apr
Marseille
1 : 1
Nice
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Girona

(Away)
29 Jul
Girona
3 : 3
Castellon
25 Jul
Girona
0 : 1
Alaves
22 Jul
Olot
1 : 3
Girona
23 May
Girona
1 : 1
Elche
17 May
Atl. Madrid
1 : 0
Girona
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