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Marseille vs Girona

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Estadi de la FAF, Encamp
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Lopez D.
35' Event
Greenwood M.
(Penalty)
42'
Stuani C.

AI Match Summary

Marseille in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marseille.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Marseille
15%
Draws
85%
Girona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Girona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marseille lately — more wins on the board than Girona.
  • Model gives Girona a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Marseille Clean Sheet 13%
Girona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marseille Girona
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 3 11
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Marseille vs Girona
2:0
Aug 3, 2016 Club Friendly
Girona vs Marseille
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marseille 10 / 100
Girona 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marseille Girona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Girona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Girona has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Marseille scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Girona's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Marseille VS Girona
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marseille

(Home)
20 Sept
Marseille
1 : 2
PSG
17 Sept
Besiktas
4 : 1
Marseille
11 Sept
Rennes
1 : 0
Marseille
06 Sept
Marseille
2 : 3
Paris FC
30 Aug
Monaco
2 : 0
Marseille
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Girona

(Away)
25 Sept
Girona
2 : 0
Albacete
19 Sept
Cadiz
1 : 2
Girona
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2
Castellon
05 Sept
Gijon
0 : 2
Girona
29 Aug
Girona
5 : 2
Las Palmas
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