Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Marseille host Le Havre in the Ligue 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Le Havre have shipped 1.39 goals a game lately, while Marseille have conceded 1.57 and scored 1.67. Head-to-head, Marseille have won 5 to Le Havre's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.50) back Marseille to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Marseille have won more games recently than Le Havre.
- Marseille are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Marseille here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marseille | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Le Havre conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Marseille's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Away concern: Le Havre has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Marseille
(Home)Le Havre
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 14 |
| 2 | PSG | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Lille | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 14 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Rennes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Lens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 9 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 10 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 9 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:17 | 9 |
| 13 | Nice | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Troyes | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | 2 |
