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Marseille vs Levski Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Thu, Nov 26, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marseille host Levski Sofia in the Europa League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Marseille at 1.55 goals for, 1.41 against; Levski Sofia at 1.9 for, 0.69 against. Head-to-head, Marseille have won 0 to Levski Sofia's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 1, 2005, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.38, favoring Levski Sofia. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Marseille
15%
Draws
44%
Levski Sofia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levski Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Marseille haven't matched Levski Sofia's recent run of results.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Marseille Clean Sheet 17%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marseille Levski Sofia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 19
Draws 1 7
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.55 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2005 Europa League
Levski Sofia vs Marseille
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marseille 30 / 100
Levski Sofia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marseille Levski Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marseille Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marseille scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Marseille remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Levski Sofia let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Marseille VS Levski Sofia
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marseille

(Home)
05 Nov
Bayer Leverkusen
0 : 1
Marseille
01 Nov
Marseille
2 : 0
Toulouse
25 Oct
Marseille
4 : 3
Le Havre
22 Oct
Sturm Graz
1 : 0
Marseille
18 Oct
Angers
2 : 5
Marseille
Page 1 of 6

Levski Sofia

(Away)
05 Nov
Levski Sofia
1 : 0
Jagiellonia
31 Oct
Dunav Ruse
0 : 1
Levski Sofia
27 Oct
Arda
1 : 1
Levski Sofia
22 Oct
Plzen
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
18 Oct
Spartak Pleven
0 : 2
Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 4 4 0 0 13:3 12
2 Bournemouth 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
3 Ferencvaros 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
4 Royale Union SG 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
5 Juventus 4 3 1 0 11:4 10
6 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
8 Besiktas 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
9 Din. Zagreb 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
11 Sunderland 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
12 Nijmegen 4 2 1 1 8:9 7
13 Lyon 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
15 Anderlecht 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
17 Rennes 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
18 Omonia 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
19 Torreense 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 1 2 1 9:4 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 1 2 1 9:6 5
22 Sparta Prague 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
23 Hoffenheim 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
25 Celje 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
26 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
28 AC Milan 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
29 Jagiellonia 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
30 Plzen 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
31 Marseille 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
32 Celtic 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
33 H. Beer Sheva 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
34 Lillestrom 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
35 Lech Poznan 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
36 Ararat-Armenia 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)