Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Ekitike H.
45'
45'
Szoboszlai D.
48'
48'
Pavard B.
AI Match Summary
Liverpool in this Champions League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liverpool.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marseille
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Liverpool have won more games recently than Marseille.
- Win probability leans Marseille's way, sitting at 50%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Liverpool here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Marseille Clean Sheet 15%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marseille | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 21, 2026 Champions League
Marseille vs Liverpool
0:3
Nov 26, 2008 Champions League
Liverpool vs Marseille
1:0
Sep 16, 2008 Champions League
Marseille vs Liverpool
1:2
Dec 11, 2007 Champions League
Marseille vs Liverpool
0:4
Oct 3, 2007 Champions League
Liverpool vs Marseille
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marseille Compare
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Liverpool Compare
Top Goalscorer Szoboszlai D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gakpo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marseille 48 / 100
Liverpool 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marseille Liverpool
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marseille's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Liverpool has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Marseille remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Marseille VS Liverpool
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Marseille
(Home) 09 Aug
Marseille
3 : 1 Ath Bilbao
05 Aug
Marseille
3 : 0 Al-Shahaniya
30 Jul
Marseille
2 : 1 Nimes
25 Jul
Marseille
0 : 3 Nice
17 May
Marseille
3 : 1 Rennes
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Marseille
3 : 1 Ath Bilbao
05 Aug
Marseille
3 : 0 Al-Shahaniya
30 Jul
Marseille
2 : 1 Nimes
25 Jul
Marseille
0 : 3 Nice
17 May
Marseille
3 : 1 Rennes
Page 1 of 4
Liverpool
(Away) 09 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 3 Monaco
02 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 4 Leeds
29 Jul
Liverpool
1 : 0 Wrexham
25 Jul
Liverpool
4 : 2 Sunderland
24 May
Liverpool
1 : 1 Brentford
Page 1 of 6
15 May
Aston Villa
4 : 2 Liverpool
03 May
Manchester United
3 : 2 Liverpool
19 Apr
Everton
1 : 2 Liverpool
08 Apr
PSG
2 : 0 Liverpool
04 Apr
Manchester City
4 : 0 Liverpool
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 11 | PSG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Atl. Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 29 | Ath Bilbao | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Prague | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
