Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marseille W vs Dijon W

France France

Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 Centre d'entrainement Robert-Louis-Dreyfus, Marseille
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Compaore S.
37'
Vairon M.
45' Event
Declercq L.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Marseille W and Dijon W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dijon W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Marseille W
15%
Draws
35%
Dijon W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marseille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dijon W come out ahead of Marseille W on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Marseille W taking it.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Marseille W Clean Sheet 20%
Dijon W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marseille W Dijon W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Dijon W
0:1
Nov 7, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Dijon W vs Marseille W
1:1
Aug 15, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Dijon W vs Marseille W
1:0
Sep 9, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Dijon W vs Marseille W
4:1
Apr 4, 2020 Premiere Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Dijon W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marseille W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Dijon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Grzybowska G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marseille W 85 / 100
Dijon W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marseille W Dijon W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marseille W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marseille W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Marseille W scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Dijon W let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Marseille W VS Dijon W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.17
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Marseille W

(Home)
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0
Le Havre W
29 Aug
Montpellier W
0 : 3
Marseille W
22 Aug
Marseille W
3 : 0
Toulouse W
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Dijon W

(Away)
06 May
Marseille W
0 : 1
Dijon W
25 Apr
Dijon W
1 : 2
Paris FC W
22 Apr
OL Lyonnes W
4 : 0
Dijon W
28 Mar
Dijon W
2 : 1
Le Havre W
22 Mar
Lens W
0 : 1
Dijon W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 22 19 3 0 76:11 60
2 Paris FC W 22 15 3 4 46:16 48
3 PSG W 22 15 2 5 48:26 47
4 Nantes W 22 12 5 5 42:34 41
5 Fleury 91 W 22 9 6 7 27:21 33
6 Dijon W 22 9 6 7 21:28 33
7 Strasbourg W 22 7 5 10 26:38 26
8 Le Havre W 22 5 6 11 25:45 21
9 Marseille W 22 5 4 13 26:44 19
10 Montpellier W 22 4 3 15 28:45 15
11 Lens W 22 4 3 15 20:50 15
12 St Etienne W 22 3 4 15 11:38 13
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women (Main)