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Marseille W vs Fleury 91 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Centre d'entrainement Robert-Louis-Dreyfus, Marseille
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marseille W host Fleury 91 W in the Premiere Ligue Women. This one's hard to separate. Fleury 91 W have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Marseille W have conceded 1.7 and scored 1.7. Head-to-head, Marseille W have won 0 to Fleury 91 W's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.75 - 0.75) back Marseille W to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Marseille W
30%
Draws
27%
Fleury 91 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marseille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Marseille W have won more games recently than Fleury 91 W.
  • Win probability leans Marseille W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Marseille W Clean Sheet 20%
Fleury 91 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marseille W Fleury 91 W
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.7 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Fleury 91 W vs Marseille W
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Fleury 91 W
0:2
Aug 27, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Marseille W vs Fleury 91 W
1:1
Feb 22, 2020 Premiere Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Fleury 91 W
2:3
Nov 2, 2019 Premiere Ligue Women
Fleury 91 W vs Marseille W
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marseille W 85 / 100
Fleury 91 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marseille W Fleury 91 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marseille W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Marseille W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Marseille W scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Fleury 91 W has conceded goals in 65% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marseille W VS Fleury 91 W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marseille W

(Home)
03 Oct
Strasbourg W
3 : 3
Marseille W
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0
Le Havre W
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Fleury 91 W

(Away)
04 Oct
Fleury 91 W
1 : 3
PSG W
19 Sept
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
12 Sept
Nantes W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
04 Sept
Fleury 91 W
1 : 7
OL Lyonnes W
29 Aug
Bourges 18 W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)