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Marseille W vs Le Havre W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Centre d'entrainement Robert-Louis-Dreyfus, Marseille
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Rodrigues N.
Assist: Cosson M.
43'
Johnson K.
46'
Sub
Baron A. In: Fofana T.
Out: Baron A.

AI Match Summary

Marseille W in this Premiere Ligue Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marseille W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Marseille W
20%
Draws
36%
Le Havre W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marseille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Marseille W have won more games recently than Le Havre W.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Marseille W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Marseille W Clean Sheet 20%
Le Havre W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marseille W Le Havre W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.7 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Le Havre W
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Le Havre W vs Marseille W
2:2
Sep 19, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Marseille W vs Le Havre W
1:2
Aug 25, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Le Havre W vs Marseille W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marseille W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Le Havre W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marseille W 85 / 100
Le Havre W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marseille W Le Havre W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marseille W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Havre W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 31 matches.

Marseille W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Marseille W scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Marseille W VS Le Havre W
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marseille W

(Home)
03 Oct
Strasbourg W
3 : 3
Marseille W
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0
Le Havre W
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Le Havre W

(Away)
03 Oct
Le Havre W
2 : 0
Saint-Malo W
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0
Le Havre W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)