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Marske United vs Basford Utd.

England England

NPL Premier Division 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Church E.

AI Match Summary

Marske United in this NPL Premier Division 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marske United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Marske United
20%
Draws
20%
Basford Utd.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marske United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Basford Utd. lately — more wins on the board than Marske United.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Marske United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Marske United Clean Sheet 10%
Basford Utd. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marske United Basford Utd.
Matches Played 10 32
Wins 3 8
Draws 0 8
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Basford Utd. vs Marske United
0:0
Oct 14, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Marske United vs Basford Utd.
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marske United Compare

Top Goalscorer Church E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Basford Utd. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marske United 38 / 100
Basford Utd. 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marske United Basford Utd.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marske United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Basford Utd. conceded in 100% of 32 recent games.

Away concern: Basford Utd. has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Marske United scored in 50% of their last 10 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Marske United VS Basford Utd.
0 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Marske United

(Home)
05 Sept
Workington
3 : 0
Marske United
09 Jul
Marske United
1 : 2
Spennymoor
30 Dec
Marske United
0 : 2
Morpeth
26 Dec
Guiseley
2 : 3
Marske United
23 Dec
Marske United
1 : 0
Ashton United
Page 1 of 2

Basford Utd.

(Away)
05 Sept
Halesowen
3 : 1
Basford Utd.
29 Aug
Basford Utd.
0 : 1
Bedworth United
01 Aug
Heaton Stannington
1 : 1
Basford Utd.
28 Jul
Ilkeston
4 : 1
Basford Utd.
18 Jul
Basford Utd.
1 : 1
Gainsborough
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Radcliffe 40 28 3 9 103:58 87
2 Macclesfield 40 24 5 11 84:47 77
3 Marine 40 23 7 10 87:44 76
4 Warrington Rylands 40 21 12 7 65:42 75
5 Worksop 40 21 7 12 72:49 70
6 Hyde 40 19 10 11 68:48 67
7 Ashton United 40 19 10 11 73:63 67
8 Gainsborough 40 19 6 15 66:63 63
9 Lancaster 40 18 8 14 60:62 62
10 Guiseley 40 18 7 15 69:63 61
11 Ilkeston 40 18 6 16 69:62 60
12 Whitby 40 17 8 15 60:50 56
13 Morpeth 40 14 8 18 76:81 50
14 United of Manchester 40 15 4 21 55:77 48
15 Matlock 40 14 5 21 62:77 47
16 Bamber Bridge 40 12 11 17 63:82 47
17 Workington 40 11 11 18 67:81 44
18 Basford Utd. 40 9 10 21 44:65 37
19 Bradford PA 40 7 9 24 50:85 30
20 Stafford 40 9 3 28 36:81 30
21 Atherton Collieries 40 7 4 29 47:96 25
22 Marske United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - National League North 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2023/2024 (Play Offs)