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Marske United vs Marine

England England

NPL Premier Division 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marske United play Marine in the NPL Premier Division 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Marske United averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Marine averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Marske United won 1, Marine won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 10, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Marske United and 1.49 for Marine. This points to a Marine double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Marske United
15%
Draws
44%
Marine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Marske United picked up more points recently compared to Marine.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.49 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Marske United Clean Sheet 16%
Marine Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marske United Marine
Matches Played 11 33
Wins 5 14
Draws 0 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.36 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.48

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Marine vs Marske United
0:0
Oct 7, 2023 FA Trophy
Marske United vs Marine
2:4
Sep 23, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Marske United vs Marine
1:2
Apr 8, 2023 NPL Premier Division
Marske United vs Marine
0:1
Dec 20, 2022 FA Trophy
Marske United vs Marine
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marske United Compare

Top Goalscorer Church E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Marine Compare

Top Goalscorer White L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sinclair-Smith F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marske United 40 / 100
Marine 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marske United Marine

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Marine or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Marske United attacking → ← attacking Marine

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marske United scored in 64% of their last 11 games.

Marine let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Marske United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Marine lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 47
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Radcliffe402839103:5887
2Macclesfield402451184:4777
3Marine402371087:4476
4Warrington Rylands402112765:4275
5Worksop402171272:4970
6Hyde4019101168:4867
7Ashton United4019101173:6367
8Gainsborough401961566:6363
9Lancaster401881460:6262
10Guiseley401871569:6361
11Ilkeston401861669:6260
12Whitby401781560:5056
13Morpeth401481876:8150
14United of Manchester401542155:7748
15Matlock401452162:7747
16Bamber Bridge4012111763:8247
17Workington4011111867:8144
18Basford Utd.409102144:6537
19Bradford PA40792450:8530
20Stafford40932836:8130
21Atherton Collieries40742947:9625
22Marske United00000:00