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Marsonia vs Bjelovar

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Mrkela P.
29' Event
Stanic L.
39' Event
Stojanovic N.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2024/2025 game between Marsonia and Bjelovar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marsonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Marsonia
20%
Draws
38%
Bjelovar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marsonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Marsonia haven't matched Bjelovar's recent run of results.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Bjelovar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Marsonia Clean Sheet 19%
Bjelovar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marsonia Bjelovar
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 11
Draws 1 9
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Bjelovar
3:1
Nov 9, 2024 Druga NL
Bjelovar vs Marsonia
4:0
May 25, 2024 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Bjelovar
0:2
Nov 17, 2023 Druga NL
Bjelovar vs Marsonia
2:2
May 7, 2023 Druga NL
Bjelovar vs Marsonia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marsonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bujan B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Bjelovar Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojanovic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marsonia 20 / 100
Bjelovar 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marsonia Bjelovar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BJE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Marsonia found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Bjelovar has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Marsonia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bjelovar
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marsonia

(Home)
27 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
1 : 0
Marsonia
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Marsonia
5 : 0
Trnje
16 May
Karlovac
6 : 0
Marsonia
10 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Bjelovar
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Bjelovar

(Away)
08 Aug
Bjelovar
2 : 2
Radnik Krizevci
01 Aug
Kurilovec
0 : 4
Bjelovar
29 Jul
Granicar Djurdjevac
0 : 2
Bjelovar
18 Jul
Pitomaca
0 : 0
Bjelovar
30 May
Dragovoljac
2 : 0
Bjelovar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hrvace 30 20 4 6 71:41 64
2 Karlovac 30 19 5 6 50:20 62
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 16 7 7 62:38 55
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 16 7 7 55:32 55
5 Solin 30 17 3 10 54:33 54
6 Bjelovar 30 16 6 8 56:37 54
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 14 6 10 49:37 48
8 Kustosija 30 13 9 8 51:40 48
9 Uljanik Pula 30 10 6 14 41:45 36
10 Trnje 30 9 8 13 40:53 35
11 Segesta 30 10 4 16 50:69 34
12 Dragovoljac 30 9 5 16 36:45 32
13 Marsonia 30 10 1 19 40:75 31
14 Dugo Selo 30 8 6 16 45:60 30
15 Grobnican 30 8 4 18 33:59 28
16 Jadran Porec 30 3 3 24 25:74 12
Promotion - Prva NL 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)