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Marsonia vs Grobnican

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Solic D.
45' Event
Solic D.

AI Match Summary

Marsonia in this Druga NL 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marsonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Marsonia
20%
Draws
29%
Grobnican
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marsonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Grobnican haven't matched Marsonia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Marsonia's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Marsonia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Marsonia Clean Sheet 19%
Grobnican Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marsonia Grobnican
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 7
Draws 1 11
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Grobnican
2:0
Aug 31, 2024 Druga NL
Grobnican vs Marsonia
2:3
May 4, 2024 Druga NL
Grobnican vs Marsonia
4:2
Oct 28, 2023 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Grobnican
2:0
Apr 7, 2023 Druga NL
Grobnican vs Marsonia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marsonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Solic D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Grobnican Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marsonia 49 / 100
Grobnican 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marsonia Grobnican

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grobnican's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Marsonia scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Marsonia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grobnican
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marsonia

(Home)
27 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
1 : 0
Marsonia
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Marsonia
5 : 0
Trnje
16 May
Karlovac
6 : 0
Marsonia
10 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Bjelovar
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Grobnican

(Away)
29 Jul
Orijent
1 : 1
Grobnican
29 May
Uljanik Pula
2 : 5
Grobnican
23 May
Grobnican
1 : 5
Trnje
16 May
Dugo Selo
2 : 0
Grobnican
09 May
Grobnican
2 : 2
Lucko
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hrvace 30 20 4 6 71:41 64
2 Karlovac 30 19 5 6 50:20 62
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 16 7 7 62:38 55
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 16 7 7 55:32 55
5 Solin 30 17 3 10 54:33 54
6 Bjelovar 30 16 6 8 56:37 54
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 14 6 10 49:37 48
8 Kustosija 30 13 9 8 51:40 48
9 Uljanik Pula 30 10 6 14 41:45 36
10 Trnje 30 9 8 13 40:53 35
11 Segesta 30 10 4 16 50:69 34
12 Dragovoljac 30 9 5 16 36:45 32
13 Marsonia 30 10 1 19 40:75 31
14 Dugo Selo 30 8 6 16 45:60 30
15 Grobnican 30 8 4 18 33:59 28
16 Jadran Porec 30 3 3 24 25:74 12
Promotion - Prva NL 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)