Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marsonia vs Hrvace

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Carev M.
42' Event
Carev M.
50' Event
Lelic S.

AI Match Summary

Hrvace in this Druga NL 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hrvace.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Marsonia
15%
Draws
21%
Hrvace
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marsonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Hrvace have won more games recently than Marsonia.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Marsonia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hrvace have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Marsonia Clean Sheet 19%
Hrvace Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marsonia Hrvace
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 13
Draws 1 5
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Hrvace
1:3
Oct 11, 2024 Druga NL
Hrvace vs Marsonia
4:0
May 11, 2024 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Hrvace
2:3
Nov 4, 2023 Druga NL
Hrvace vs Marsonia
2:1
Apr 30, 2023 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Hrvace
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marsonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lelic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Hrvace Compare

Top Goalscorer Carev M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Balic J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marsonia 36 / 100
Hrvace 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marsonia Hrvace

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Marsonia found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Hrvace let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Marsonia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hrvace
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marsonia

(Home)
27 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
1 : 0
Marsonia
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Marsonia
5 : 0
Trnje
16 May
Karlovac
6 : 0
Marsonia
10 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Bjelovar
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Hrvace

(Away)
30 May
Hrvace
1 : 2
Dubrava Zagreb
24 May
Croatia Zmijavci
3 : 0
Hrvace
16 May
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0
Hrvace
10 May
Hrvace
0 : 2
Opatija
02 May
Jarun
1 : 2
Hrvace
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hrvace 30 20 4 6 71:41 64
2 Karlovac 30 19 5 6 50:20 62
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 16 7 7 62:38 55
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 16 7 7 55:32 55
5 Solin 30 17 3 10 54:33 54
6 Bjelovar 30 16 6 8 56:37 54
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 14 6 10 49:37 48
8 Kustosija 30 13 9 8 51:40 48
9 Uljanik Pula 30 10 6 14 41:45 36
10 Trnje 30 9 8 13 40:53 35
11 Segesta 30 10 4 16 50:69 34
12 Dragovoljac 30 9 5 16 36:45 32
13 Marsonia 30 10 1 19 40:75 31
14 Dugo Selo 30 8 6 16 45:60 30
15 Grobnican 30 8 4 18 33:59 28
16 Jadran Porec 30 3 3 24 25:74 12
Promotion - Prva NL 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)