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Stadium Background

Marsonia vs NK Zagreb

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Taric M.
Own Goal
71' Event
Begic M.
81' Event
Misic H.

AI Match Summary

Marsonia in this Croatian Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Marsonia
6%
Draws
4%
NK Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Marsonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marsonia lately — more wins on the board than NK Zagreb.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Marsonia taking it.
  • Marsonia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor NK Zagreb, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Marsonia Clean Sheet 68%
NK Zagreb Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marsonia NK Zagreb
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 3
Draws 2 5
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 2.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2018 Croatian Cup
Marsonia vs NK Zagreb
3:0
Sep 25, 2013 Croatian Cup
Marsonia vs NK Zagreb
0:5
May 12, 2004 HNL
NK Zagreb vs Marsonia
3:0
Apr 17, 2004 HNL
Marsonia vs NK Zagreb
0:0
Feb 28, 2004 HNL
NK Zagreb vs Marsonia
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marsonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Begic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Misic H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

NK Zagreb Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marsonia 95 / 100
NK Zagreb 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marsonia NK Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NK Zagreb's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Marsonia found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Recent resilience: Marsonia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marsonia VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marsonia

(Home)
27 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
1 : 0
Marsonia
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Marsonia
5 : 0
Trnje
16 May
Karlovac
6 : 0
Marsonia
10 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Bjelovar
Page 1 of 7

NK Zagreb

(Away)
26 Sept
Cibalia
6 : 0
NK Zagreb
22 Sept
NK Zagreb
0 : 1
Oriolik
02 Mar
NK Zagreb
0 : 3
Hajduk Split
07 Oct
Mladost Zdralovi
0 : 1
NK Zagreb
25 Sept
HNK Gorica
8 : 0
NK Zagreb
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Din. Zagreb-
TBD-
NK Koprivnica1
Sloga Mravince3
GOSK Dubrovnik-
TBD-
TBD-
NK Zelina-
Marsonia2
Karlovac1
TBD-
NK Zagreb-
Kurilovec3
Suhopolje2
TBD-
Slaven Belupo-
Hajduk Split-
TBD-
Visnjevac1
Vrapce2
Nehaj Senj4
Granicar Zupanja1
TBD-
Sibenik-
Krk3
Rudar Labin0
TBD-
Cibalia-
Zagorec Krapina9
NK Libertas Novska0
TBD-
Osijek-
Zapresic-
TBD-
Pitomaca0
Bednja Beletinec2
Sloga Nova Gradiska4
NK Nedelisce2
TBD-
Istra 1961-
Jadran Luka Ploce1
Bjelovar0
TBD-
RNK Split-
Slavija Pleternica1
Segesta0
TBD-
Jaska Vinogradar-
Lok. Zagreb-
TBD-
Zagora1
Primorac Biograd3
Vukovar 19911
Bijelo Brdo0
TBD-
Zadar-
Varazdin3
Dragovoljac0
Sava Strmec0
Medjimurje5
Radnik Krizevci2
Rovinj0
TBD-
Rijeka-
1/16-finals
Din. Zagreb1
Sloga Mravince0
GOSK Dubrovnik0
NK Zelina2
Marsonia3
NK Zagreb0
Kurilovec0
Slaven Belupo2
Hajduk Split2
Vrapce0
Nehaj Senj2
Sibenik3
Krk1
Cibalia0
Zagorec Krapina0
Osijek3
Zapresic3
Bednja Beletinec0
Sloga Nova Gradiska2
Istra 19614
Jadran Luka Ploce3
RNK Split1
Slavija Pleternica0
Jaska Vinogradar4
Lok. Zagreb1
Primorac Biograd0
Vukovar 19913
Zadar5
Varazdin2
Medjimurje0
Radnik Krizevci0
Rijeka9
1/8-finals
Din. Zagreb4
NK Zelina0
Marsonia0
Slaven Belupo1
Hajduk Split2
Sibenik1
Krk1
Osijek5
Zapresic2
Istra 19611
Jadran Luka Ploce2
Jaska Vinogradar4
Lok. Zagreb3
Zadar1
Varazdin1
Rijeka2
Quarter-finals
Din. Zagreb1
Slaven Belupo0
Hajduk Split1
Osijek2
Zapresic3
Jaska Vinogradar0
Lok. Zagreb1
Rijeka2
Semi-finals
Din. Zagreb2
Osijek0
Zapresic1
Rijeka2
Final
Din. Zagreb1
Rijeka3