Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marsonia vs Sloga Nova Gradiska

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marsonia in this 3. HNL East matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marsonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Marsonia
15%
Draws
21%
Sloga Nova Gradiska
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marsonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Sloga Nova Gradiska haven't matched Marsonia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Marsonia a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. HNL East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Marsonia Clean Sheet 68%
Sloga Nova Gradiska Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marsonia Sloga Nova Gradiska
Matches Played 51 30
Wins 25 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 1.57 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 3. HNL East
Marsonia vs Sloga Nova Gradiska
3:1
Nov 20, 2021 3. HNL East
Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Marsonia
0:0
Jun 2, 2021 3. HNL East
Marsonia vs Sloga Nova Gradiska
2:0
Nov 7, 2020 3. HNL East
Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Marsonia
1:1
Apr 26, 2003 Prva NL
Sloga Nova Gradiska vs Marsonia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marsonia 77 / 100
Sloga Nova Gradiska 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marsonia Sloga Nova Gradiska

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marsonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sloga Nova Gradiska let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Marsonia scored in 67% of their last 51 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Marsonia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marsonia VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marsonia

(Home)
27 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
1 : 0
Marsonia
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Marsonia
5 : 0
Trnje
16 May
Karlovac
6 : 0
Marsonia
10 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Bjelovar
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Sloga Nova Gradiska

(Away)
28 Aug
Sloga Nova Gradiska
0 : 1
Bjelovar
28 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
3 : 1
Oriolik
21 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Sloga Nova Gradiska
14 May
Slavonac Bukovlje
5 : 3
Sloga Nova Gradiska
07 May
Sloga Nova Gradiska
1 : 4
Zrinski Osjecko
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vukovar 1991 34 25 7 2 80:20 82
2 Zrinski Osjecko 34 24 6 4 69:33 78
3 Belisce 34 23 6 5 95:28 75
4 Marsonia 34 21 7 6 61:25 70
5 Slavonija Pozega 34 18 7 9 60:38 61
6 Croatia Dakovo 34 16 11 7 60:38 59
7 Bedem Ivankovo 34 13 8 13 53:52 47
8 Slavija Pleternica 34 13 6 15 57:68 45
9 Kutjevo 34 12 7 15 59:62 43
10 Granicar Zupanja 34 11 7 16 43:52 40
11 Sloga Nova Gradiska 34 12 3 19 46:71 39
12 Oriolik 34 11 5 18 43:71 38
13 Cepin 34 8 10 16 46:64 34
14 Darda 34 9 5 20 44:71 32
15 Vuteks Sloga 34 9 4 21 52:81 31
16 NASK Nasice 34 7 9 18 38:63 30
17 Omladinac Gornja Vrba 34 8 6 20 35:63 30
18 Slavonac Bukovlje 34 7 4 23 36:77 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)