Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marsonia vs Trnje

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Didovic I.
14' Event
Stanic L.
21' Event
Lelic S.

AI Match Summary

Marsonia in this Druga NL 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marsonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Marsonia
15%
Draws
37%
Trnje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marsonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Trnje haven't matched Marsonia's recent run of results.
  • Trnje are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Marsonia Clean Sheet 15%
Trnje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marsonia Trnje
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 1 8
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Trnje
5:0
Nov 23, 2024 Druga NL
Trnje vs Marsonia
5:0
Apr 13, 2024 Druga NL
Marsonia vs Trnje
2:4
Oct 7, 2023 Druga NL
Trnje vs Marsonia
0:2
Mar 25, 2023 Druga NL
Trnje vs Marsonia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marsonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lelic S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Didovic I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Trnje Compare

Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marsonia 23 / 100
Trnje 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marsonia Trnje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trnje let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Marsonia found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Marsonia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Trnje
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marsonia

(Home)
27 Aug
Slavonija Pozega
1 : 0
Marsonia
31 May
Jadran Porec
1 : 2
Marsonia
24 May
Marsonia
5 : 0
Trnje
16 May
Karlovac
6 : 0
Marsonia
10 May
Marsonia
3 : 1
Bjelovar
Page 1 of 7

Trnje

(Away)
25 Jul
Mladost Zdralovi
2 : 2
Trnje
30 May
Trnje
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
23 May
Grobnican
1 : 5
Trnje
16 May
Trnje
1 : 0
Kustosija
09 May
Uskok Klis
2 : 1
Trnje
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hrvace 30 20 4 6 71:41 64
2 Karlovac 30 19 5 6 50:20 62
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 16 7 7 62:38 55
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 16 7 7 55:32 55
5 Solin 30 17 3 10 54:33 54
6 Bjelovar 30 16 6 8 56:37 54
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 14 6 10 49:37 48
8 Kustosija 30 13 9 8 51:40 48
9 Uljanik Pula 30 10 6 14 41:45 36
10 Trnje 30 9 8 13 40:53 35
11 Segesta 30 10 4 16 50:69 34
12 Dragovoljac 30 9 5 16 36:45 32
13 Marsonia 30 10 1 19 40:75 31
14 Dugo Selo 30 8 6 16 45:60 30
15 Grobnican 30 8 4 18 33:59 28
16 Jadran Porec 30 3 3 24 25:74 12
Promotion - Prva NL 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga NL 2024/2025 (Relegation)