Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Martigues vs Troyes

France France

Ligue 2 2024/2025 Stade Francis Turcan, Martigues
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
de Preville N.
15'
Phliponeau A.
27' Event
Said R.
Assist: de Preville N.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between Martigues and Troyes finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Troyes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Martigues
35%
Draws
42%
Troyes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Troyes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Troyes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Troyes a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Troyes have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Martigues Clean Sheet 16%
Troyes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Martigues Troyes
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 9 19
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.2 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Martigues vs Troyes
1:2
Dec 13, 2024 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Martigues
4:0
Feb 14, 1998 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Martigues
3:0
Sep 24, 1997 Ligue 2
Martigues vs Troyes
1:4
Feb 16, 1997 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Martigues
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Martigues Compare

Top Goalscorer Ipiele A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Troyes Compare

Top Goalscorer de Preville N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Said R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Martigues 15 / 100
Troyes 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Martigues Troyes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Troyes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Martigues scored in 68% of their last 25 games.

Defensive concern: Troyes conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Martigues remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Troyes
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Martigues

(Home)
26 Jul
Martigues
1 : 1
AC Ajaccio
10 May
Lorient
5 : 1
Martigues
02 May
Martigues
1 : 1
Paris FC
25 Apr
Guingamp
2 : 1
Martigues
18 Apr
Caen
0 : 3
Martigues
Page 1 of 5

Troyes

(Away)
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2
Troyes
22 Aug
Troyes
0 : 0
Paris FC
14 Aug
Troyes
1 : 1
Panetolikos
08 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 1
Troyes
31 Jul
Troyes
5 : 2
GOAL FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorient 34 22 5 7 68:31 71
2 Paris FC 34 21 6 7 55:33 69
3 Metz 34 18 11 5 64:34 65
4 Dunkerque 34 17 5 12 47:40 56
5 Guingamp 34 17 4 13 57:45 55
6 Annecy 34 14 9 11 42:43 51
7 Laval 34 14 8 12 44:38 50
8 Bastia 34 11 15 8 43:37 48
9 Grenoble 34 13 7 14 43:44 46
10 Troyes 34 13 5 16 36:34 44
11 Amiens SC 34 13 4 17 38:50 43
12 AC Ajaccio 34 12 6 16 30:42 42
13 Pau 34 10 12 12 39:53 42
14 Rodez 34 9 12 13 56:54 39
15 Red Star 34 9 11 14 37:51 38
16 Clermont 34 7 12 15 30:46 33
17 Martigues 34 9 5 20 29:56 32
18 Caen 34 5 7 22 31:58 22
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - National 2025/2026 (Main)