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Martin Ledesma vs San Lorenzo

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Martin Ledesma play San Lorenzo in the Division Intermedia 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Martin Ledesma averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. San Lorenzo averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. In past meetings, Martin Ledesma won 1, San Lorenzo won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 14, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Martin Ledesma and 0.80 for San Lorenzo. This points to a Martin Ledesma double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Martin Ledesma
33%
Draws
27%
San Lorenzo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Martin Ledesma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • San Lorenzo demonstrates higher offensive output (0.5 avg goals) than Martin Ledesma (0 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Martin Ledesma.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division Intermedia 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Martin Ledesma Clean Sheet 68%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Martin Ledesma San Lorenzo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 12 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2024 Division Intermedia
Martin Ledesma vs San Lorenzo
0:1
Apr 5, 2024 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Martin Ledesma
2:1
Sep 3, 2023 Division Intermedia
Martin Ledesma vs San Lorenzo
1:1
May 29, 2023 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Martin Ledesma
1:0
Sep 25, 2022 Division Intermedia
Martin Ledesma vs San Lorenzo
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Martin Ledesma Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

San Lorenzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Oviedo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Martin Ledesma 50 / 100
San Lorenzo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Martin Ledesma San Lorenzo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Martin Ledesma scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

San Lorenzo let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Martin Ledesma went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

San Lorenzo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS San Lorenzo
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Recoleta30198357:2065
2Atletico Tembetary30195646:2462
3Sportivo Carapegua30177645:2758
4San Lorenzo301210835:3146
5Resistencia301361135:3545
6Encarnacion FC301281043:3944
7Deportivo Santani301191035:3342
8Rubio Nu301191033:3542
9Guairena FC301011930:2538
1012 de Junio301081235:3538
11Independiente FBC301081233:3738
12Martin Ledesma308121028:3536
13Fernando de la Mora308111131:3335
143 de Febrero306111324:3729
15Pastoreo30651928:5023
16Colegiales30242428:7010