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Stadium Background

Martina Calcio vs Heraclea

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mastrovito M.
21' Event
De Angelis R.
25' Event
Mazzaroppi S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Martina Calcio and Heraclea finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Martina Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Martina Calcio
22%
Draws
18%
Heraclea
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Martina Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Martina Calcio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Martina Calcio a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Martina Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Heraclea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Martina Calcio Heraclea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Heraclea
2:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Heraclea vs Martina Calcio
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Martina Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Mastrovito M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Angelis R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Heraclea Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazzaroppi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Martina Calcio 58 / 100
Heraclea 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Martina Calcio Heraclea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Martina Calcio's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Heraclea let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Heraclea has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Martina Calcio VS Heraclea
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Martina Calcio

(Home)
17 May
Martina Calcio
0 : 1
Paganese
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
03 May
SS Nola 1925
2 : 1
Martina Calcio
26 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
Heraclea
19 Apr
Citta di Fasano
1 : 0
Martina Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Heraclea

(Away)
10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1
Heraclea
03 May
Heraclea
2 : 1
Ferrandina
26 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
Heraclea
19 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 3
Barletta
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barletta342010454:2070
2Martina Calcio34188847:3062
3Citta di Fasano34188851:3562
4Paganese341771036:3258
5A.C.D. Nardo341413740:2755
6Gravina341671150:4055
7Afragolese3413101145:4649
8Fidelis Andria341391235:2848
9Virtus Francavilla3412121045:4048
10Real Normanna3410131127:2643
11Francavilla3411101339:3843
12Manfredonia3411101334:3943
13Sarnese349141151:4941
14SS Nola 1925341181542:5041
15Heraclea341081631:3938
16Pompei34971826:3834
17Ferrandina34791821:4330
18Acerrana34352620:7414
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)