Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Martina Calcio vs Real Normanna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Silvestro M.
90' Event
D'Arcangelo F.

AI Match Summary

Martina Calcio in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Martina Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Martina Calcio
15%
Draws
46%
Real Normanna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Normanna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Real Normanna haven't matched Martina Calcio's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Martina Calcio a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Martina Calcio Clean Sheet 16%
Real Normanna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Martina Calcio Real Normanna
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.6 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Martina Calcio
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Real Normanna
2:0
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Martina Calcio
0:0
Mar 6, 2015 Serie C - Group C
Real Normanna vs Martina Calcio
2:0
Oct 18, 2014 Serie C - Group C
Martina Calcio vs Real Normanna
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Martina Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Silvestro M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader D'Arcangelo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Real Normanna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Martina Calcio 36 / 100
Real Normanna 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Martina Calcio Real Normanna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Martina Calcio scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Real Normanna let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Martina Calcio has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Martina Calcio VS Real Normanna
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Martina Calcio

(Home)
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2
Martina Calcio
13 Sept
Martina Calcio
2 : 0
Real Forio 2014
06 Sept
Turris
4 : 3
Martina Calcio
17 May
Martina Calcio
0 : 1
Paganese
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Real Normanna

(Away)
20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4
Real Normanna
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2
Martina Calcio
12 Sept
Ischia
2 : 2
Real Normanna
06 Sept
Real Normanna
2 : 0
Melfi
03 May
Gravina
3 : 2
Real Normanna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)