Sport Picks
Martina Calcio vs Virtus Francavilla Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group H 
Match Events
28'
28'
Ahmetaj M.
33'
33'
Silvestro M.
(Penalty)
61'
61'
Mungo D.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H game between Martina Calcio and Virtus Francavilla finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Virtus Francavilla.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Francavilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Martina Calcio come out ahead of Virtus Francavilla on wins alone.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Virtus Francavilla taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Martina Calcio Clean Sheet 16%
Virtus Francavilla Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Martina Calcio | Virtus Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Virtus Francavilla
1:2
Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Virtus Francavilla
0:4
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Martina Calcio
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Martina Calcio
1:1
Nov 13, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Virtus Francavilla vs Martina Calcio
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Martina Calcio Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Virtus Francavilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Ahmetaj M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mungo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Martina Calcio 28 / 100
Virtus Francavilla 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Martina Calcio Virtus Francavilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Francavilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Martina Calcio's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Defensive concern: Virtus Francavilla conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Martina Calcio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Martina Calcio VS Virtus Francavilla
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Martina Calcio
(Home) 27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3 Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2 Martina Calcio
13 Sept
Martina Calcio
2 : 0 Real Forio 2014
06 Sept
Turris
4 : 3 Martina Calcio
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
13 Sept
Martina Calcio
2 : 0 Real Forio 2014
17 May
Martina Calcio
0 : 1 Paganese
10 May
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 A.C.D. Nardo
26 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 Heraclea
Page 1 of 4
Virtus Francavilla
(Away) 27 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 San Felice Gladiator
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1 Palmese 1914
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
02 Apr
Afragolese
2 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
22 Mar
Acerrana
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Bisceglie | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 12 |
| 3 | Turris | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Nocerina | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 10 |
| 5 | Real Normanna | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Martina Calcio | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 7 | Manfredonia | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 8 | Gravina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 9 | Real Forio 2014 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 10 | Ebolitana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 11 | San Felice Gladiator | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 12 | Brindisi | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 13 | A.C.D. Nardo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | 5 |
| 14 | Melfi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 15 | Palmese 1914 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 16 | Francavilla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 17 | Ischia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 1 |
| 18 | Fidelis Andria | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)
