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Martos vs Huetor Tajar

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Vera Pozo S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 game between Martos and Huetor Tajar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Martos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Martos
15%
Draws
51%
Huetor Tajar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Huetor Tajar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Huetor Tajar come out ahead of Martos on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Huetor Tajar's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Martos Clean Sheet 19%
Huetor Tajar Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Martos Huetor Tajar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Huetor Tajar
1:0
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Martos
2:2
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Huetor Tajar
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Martos
2:0
Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Huetor Tajar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Martos Compare

Top Goalscorer Vera Pozo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Huetor Tajar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Martos 16 / 100
Huetor Tajar 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Martos Huetor Tajar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huetor Tajar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huetor Tajar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Martos scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Huetor Tajar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Martos VS Huetor Tajar
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Martos

(Home)
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0
Martos
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1
Martos
19 Apr
Motril
2 : 0
Martos
12 Apr
Martos
0 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
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Huetor Tajar

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
26 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 1
Mijas Las Lagunas
19 Apr
Marbelli
2 : 1
Huetor Tajar
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Mancha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)