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Marupe vs Alberts JDFS

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marupe host Alberts JDFS in the 1. Liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Marupe have averaged 1.41 scored and 1.56 conceded recently, against Alberts JDFS's 1.97 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Marupe have won 1 to Alberts JDFS's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.75) back Alberts JDFS to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Marupe
20%
Draws
46%
Alberts JDFS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alberts JDFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Marupe haven't matched Alberts JDFS's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Alberts JDFS a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alberts JDFS here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Marupe Clean Sheet 12%
Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marupe Alberts JDFS
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 13 17
Draws 2 8
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.41 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Marupe
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 1. Liga
Marupe vs Alberts JDFS
2:1
May 2, 2025 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Marupe
1:0
Aug 9, 2024 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Marupe
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 1. Liga
Marupe vs Alberts JDFS
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marupe 27 / 100
Alberts JDFS 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marupe Alberts JDFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alberts JDFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marupe scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Alberts JDFS let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Marupe went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marupe VS Alberts JDFS
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marupe

(Home)
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
01 Aug
Skanste
4 : 2
Marupe
25 Jul
Rezekne
1 : 2
Marupe
18 Jul
Marupe
0 : 4
FK Metta
Page 1 of 7

Alberts JDFS

(Away)
08 Aug
Alberts JDFS
2 : 0
Riga FC 2
03 Aug
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 1
Alberts JDFS
25 Jul
Alberts JDFS
1 : 1
Super Nova 2
18 Jul
JFK Ventspils
1 : 3
Alberts JDFS
04 Jul
Alberts JDFS
0 : 4
Riga Mariners
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 16 13 2 1 44:14 41
2 FK Metta 16 13 2 1 69:14 41
3 Leevon PPK 16 11 3 2 27:18 36
4 Riga Mariners 16 10 5 1 34:15 35
5 Alberts JDFS 16 8 4 4 32:23 28
6 Marupe 17 8 1 8 28:26 25
7 Super Nova 2 17 6 5 6 24:25 23
8 Riga FC 2 16 6 2 8 23:30 20
9 Skanste 16 6 1 9 30:32 19
10 Tukums 2000 2 16 3 3 10 21:45 12
11 RFS 2 16 3 3 10 22:45 12
12 JFK Ventspils 16 2 5 9 18:28 11
13 FK Smiltene 16 2 4 10 19:43 10
14 Rezekne 16 1 2 13 13:46 5
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