Sport Picks

Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2016

Nurafshon

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mashal Muborak II play Nurafshon in the Pro Liga 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mashal Muborak II averaged 2 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Nurafshon averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Mashal Muborak II won 2, Nurafshon won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Aug 13, 2017 ended 4:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Mashal Muborak II and 1.50 for Nurafshon. This points to a Mashal Muborak II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Mashal Muborak II

29%

Draws

22%

Nurafshon

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Mashal Muborak II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Mashal Muborak II picked up more points recently compared to Nurafshon.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Mashal Muborak II Clean Sheet 16%

Nurafshon Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mashal Muborak II	Nurafshon
Matches Played	33	32
Wins	16	7
Draws	6	7
Losses	11	18
Goals Scored	2	1.09
Goals Conceded	1.48	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2017 Pro Liga

Mashal Muborak II vs Nurafshon

Possession: 49% - 40% Cards: 2 - 0

4:4

Jun 23, 2017 Pro Liga

Nurafshon vs Mashal Muborak II

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Aug 23, 2016 Pro Liga

Mashal Muborak II vs Nurafshon

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

3:2

Jun 14, 2016 Pro Liga

Nurafshon vs Mashal Muborak II

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashal Muborak II 47 / 100

Nurafshon 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mashal Muborak II Nurafshon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mashal Muborak II or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mashal Muborak II attacking → ← attacking Nurafshon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mashal Muborak II scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Nurafshon let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Mashal Muborak II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nurafshon lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 28

2.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Din. Samarkand	32	26	4	2	86:19	82
2	Norin Haqqulobod	32	24	3	5	63:29	75
3	Sementchi Kuvasoy	32	23	5	4	69:19	74
4	Uz Dong Ju Andijon	32	17	4	11	67:58	55
5	Osiyo Tashkent	32	15	6	11	63:46	51
6	Nasaf Qarshi II	32	15	1	16	61:62	46
7	Xorazm Urganch	32	12	6	14	56:50	42
8	Nurafshon	32	13	2	17	56:61	41
9	Mashal Muborak II	32	11	8	13	46:59	41
10	Aral	32	12	2	18	71:88	38
11	FK Yozyovon	32	11	5	16	58:76	38
12	Zaamin	32	10	6	16	44:59	36
13	Lokomotiv BFK	32	10	5	17	55:66	35
14	Khotira 79	32	10	3	19	51:78	33
15	Gijduvon	32	9	5	18	51:93	32
16	FK Kasansay	32	9	4	19	42:63	31
17	Pakhtakor II	32	7	7	18	49:62	28
18	Oktepa Tashkent	0	0	0	0	0:0	0