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Mashal Muborak vs Din. Samarkand - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mashal Muborak host Din. Samarkand in the Super League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Mashal Muborak have averaged 0.52 scored and 1.76 conceded recently, against Din. Samarkand's 1.4 scored and 1.57 conceded. Head-to-head, Mashal Muborak have won 0 to Din. Samarkand's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.88) point toward Din. Samarkand. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mashal Muborak
15%
Draws
85%
Din. Samarkand
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Din. Samarkand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Din. Samarkand carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Din. Samarkand a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Din. Samarkand have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 10%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashal Muborak Din. Samarkand
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 2 7
Losses 23 13
Goals Scored 0.52 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Mashal Muborak
3:1
Aug 6, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Din. Samarkand
2:4
Mar 15, 2025 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Mashal Muborak
1:0
Aug 13, 2023 Pro Liga
Din. Samarkand vs Mashal Muborak
2:0
Mar 16, 2023 Pro Liga
Mashal Muborak vs Din. Samarkand
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashal Muborak 10 / 100
Din. Samarkand 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashal Muborak Din. Samarkand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Din. Samarkand Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Din. Samarkand has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Din. Samarkand registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mashal Muborak scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mashal Muborak VS Din. Samarkand
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mashal Muborak

(Home)
15 Oct
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1
OKMK
09 Oct
Kokand 1912
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
Page 1 of 6

Din. Samarkand

(Away)
17 Oct
Din. Samarkand
1 : 2
Buxoro
09 Oct
Nasaf Qarshi
2 : 1
Din. Samarkand
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2
Din. Samarkand
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0
Qizilqum
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Din. Samarkand
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 24 17 4 3 56:21 55
2 Pakhtakor 24 15 8 1 43:22 53
3 Navbahor Namangan 24 13 7 4 42:24 46
4 Buxoro 24 12 4 8 37:32 40
5 Lok. Tashkent 24 11 6 7 39:30 39
6 OKMK 24 11 6 7 34:31 39
7 Nasaf Qarshi 24 10 8 6 35:22 38
8 Qizilqum 24 10 3 11 24:30 33
9 Din. Samarkand 24 8 6 10 35:38 30
10 Andijan 24 9 3 12 29:32 30
11 Sogdiana 24 8 5 11 41:47 29
12 Termez Surkhon 24 7 7 10 19:28 28
13 Kokand 1912 24 5 8 11 24:34 23
14 Xorazm Urganch 24 5 8 11 20:34 23
15 Bunyodkor 24 7 2 15 24:40 23
16 Mashal Muborak 24 1 1 22 11:48 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)