Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mashal Muborak vs OKMK

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Bahrom Vafoev Stadium, Muborak
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mashal Muborak host OKMK in the Super League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. OKMK have shipped 1.27 goals a game lately, while Mashal Muborak have conceded 1.77 and scored 0.53. Head-to-head, Mashal Muborak have won 1 to OKMK's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 27, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.81, favoring OKMK. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mashal Muborak
15%
Draws
85%
OKMK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: OKMK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to OKMK lately — more wins on the board than Mashal Muborak.
  • Win probability leans OKMK's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • OKMK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 11%
OKMK Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashal Muborak OKMK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 2 7
Losses 24 9
Goals Scored 0.53 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Super League
OKMK vs Mashal Muborak
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
OKMK vs Mashal Muborak
2:0
Jul 5, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs OKMK
0:1
Oct 15, 2021 Super League
OKMK vs Mashal Muborak
3:2
May 19, 2021 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs OKMK
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashal Muborak 10 / 100
OKMK 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashal Muborak OKMK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OKMK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OKMK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Mashal Muborak found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: OKMK registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mashal Muborak VS OKMK
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mashal Muborak

(Home)
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
19 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1
Andijan
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OKMK

(Away)
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0
OKMK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 22 5 6 11 18:32 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)