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Mashal Muborak vs Oktepa Tashkent

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mashal Muborak play Oktepa Tashkent in the Pro Liga 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mashal Muborak averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.51 conceded. Oktepa Tashkent averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. In past meetings, Mashal Muborak won 3, Oktepa Tashkent won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 6, 2019 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Mashal Muborak and 1.06 for Oktepa Tashkent. This points to a Oktepa Tashkent double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Mashal Muborak
21%
Draws
41%
Oktepa Tashkent
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Oktepa Tashkent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Mashal Muborak picked up more points recently compared to Oktepa Tashkent.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 22%
Oktepa Tashkent Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashal Muborak Oktepa Tashkent
Matches Played 39 40
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 20
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.51 0.85

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2019 Pro Liga
Mashal Muborak vs Oktepa Tashkent
0:2
Aug 25, 2019 Pro Liga
Oktepa Tashkent vs Mashal Muborak
0:1
Jun 5, 2019 Pro Liga
Mashal Muborak vs Oktepa Tashkent
4:0
Apr 10, 2019 Pro Liga
Oktepa Tashkent vs Mashal Muborak
0:1
Apr 20, 2014 Uzbekistan Cup
Oktepa Tashkent vs Mashal Muborak
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashal Muborak 39 / 100
Oktepa Tashkent 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashal Muborak Oktepa Tashkent

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Oktepa Tashkent or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mashal Muborak attacking → ← attacking Oktepa Tashkent

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mashal Muborak scored in 54% of their last 39 games.

Oktepa Tashkent let in goals in 40% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Mashal Muborak went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Oktepa Tashkent lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 53
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mashal Muborak28167552:2455
2Istiklol Fergana28165764:2853
3Oktepa Tashkent28163962:4251
4Neftchi Fargona281531040:2648
5Shortan Guzor281531055:3648
6Xorazm Urganch28145958:3747
7Sherdor28422239:7514
8Iftixor28122516:1185