Sport Picks
Mashal Muborak vs Pakhtakor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Bahrom Vafoev Stadium, Muborak 
Match Events
6'
6'
Ismoilov E.
11'
11'
Pouraliganji M.
34'
34'
Rakhimov A.
AI Match Summary
Pakhtakor in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pakhtakor.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pakhtakor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Pakhtakor have won more games recently than Mashal Muborak.
- Win probability leans Pakhtakor's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Pakhtakor have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 10%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mashal Muborak | Pakhtakor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 16 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 23 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.55 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.51 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Pakhtakor
1:2
Apr 13, 2026 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Mashal Muborak
2:1
Aug 26, 2025 Uzbekistan Cup
Pakhtakor vs Mashal Muborak
3:1
Aug 1, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Pakhtakor
0:1
Apr 2, 2025 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Mashal Muborak
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mashal Muborak Compare
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26
Pakhtakor Compare
Top Goalscorer Flamarion
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mashal Muborak 10 / 100
Pakhtakor 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mashal Muborak Pakhtakor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pakhtakor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Pakhtakor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Mashal Muborak's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Mashal Muborak VS Pakhtakor
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mashal Muborak
(Home) 09 Oct
Kokand 1912
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Mashal Muborak
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
19 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1 Andijan
02 Aug
Mashal Muborak
1 : 3 Sogdiana
22 Jul
Mashal Muborak
1 : 1 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 3
Pakhtakor
(Away) 09 Oct
Pakhtakor
3 : 1 Bunyodkor
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3 Pakhtakor
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Andijan
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3 Pakhtakor
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Pakhtakor
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
