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Mashal Muborak vs Qizilqum

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Stadion Guzor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mashal Muborak play Qizilqum in the Super League. Qizilqum are favorites here. Recently, Mashal Muborak averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Qizilqum averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Mashal Muborak won 1, Qizilqum won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 10, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Mashal Muborak and 1.44 for Qizilqum. This points to a Qizilqum double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Mashal Muborak
18%
Draws
57%
Qizilqum
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Qizilqum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Mashal Muborak picked up more points recently compared to Qizilqum.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 16%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashal Muborak Qizilqum
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.5 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Qizilqum
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 Super League
Qizilqum vs Mashal Muborak
1:0
May 11, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Qizilqum
2:2
Jul 3, 2024 Uzbekistan Cup
Mashal Muborak vs Qizilqum
1:3
Nov 21, 2021 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Qizilqum
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mashal Muborak Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Qizilqum Compare

Top Goalscorer Jigauri J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Norkhonov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashal Muborak 26 / 100
Qizilqum 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashal Muborak Qizilqum

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qizilqum Win (2)
Secondary Pick Qizilqum & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mashal Muborak attacking → ← attacking Qizilqum

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mashal Muborak scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Qizilqum let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Mashal Muborak went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Qizilqum lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 37
0.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Neftchi Fargona1191125:328
2Pakhtakor1182122:1226
3Navbahor Namangan1162314:820
4Buxoro1162315:1120
5Bunyodkor1161413:1119
6Lok. Tashkent1152414:1417
7Andijan1151516:1116
8OKMK1144314:1416
9Nasaf Qarshi1135312:1114
10Xorazm Urganch113449:1313
11Qizilqum114168:1513
12Termez Surkhon1133511:1812
13Din. Samarkand1132617:2111
14Kokand 19121125410:1511
15Sogdiana1123619:259
16Mashal Muborak1100114:210