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Mashal Muborak vs Xorazm Urganch

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League 2025 Stadion Guzor
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Match Events

18' Event
Ismoilov E.
Own Goal
44'
Sub
Umar A. In: Sharipov I.
Out: Umar A.
45' Event
Abdukhamidov R.
Assist: Abdullazhonov S.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025 game between Mashal Muborak and Xorazm Urganch finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xorazm Urganch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Mashal Muborak
39%
Draws
31%
Xorazm Urganch
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Xorazm Urganch come out ahead of Mashal Muborak on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 68%
Xorazm Urganch Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashal Muborak Xorazm Urganch
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 3 9
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Xorazm Urganch
0:1
Oct 17, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Xorazm Urganch
0:3
May 18, 2025 Super League
Xorazm Urganch vs Mashal Muborak
3:0
Nov 21, 2024 Pro Liga
Xorazm Urganch vs Mashal Muborak
0:0
Sep 18, 2024 Pro Liga
Mashal Muborak vs Xorazm Urganch
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mashal Muborak Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Xorazm Urganch Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdukhamidov R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Samiev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashal Muborak 41 / 100
Xorazm Urganch 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashal Muborak Xorazm Urganch

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xorazm Urganch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Xorazm Urganch lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mashal Muborak scored in 43% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mashal Muborak VS Xorazm Urganch
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona30197449:2464
2Pakhtakor30186659:2360
3Nasaf Qarshi301611351:2359
4Din. Samarkand301610447:3058
5Bunyodkor301310748:4049
6OKMK301461044:3448
7Navbahor Namangan3010101041:3740
8Sogdiana301071337:3737
9Qizilqum30991228:4436
10Termez Surkhon30981326:3035
11Andijan30981339:5135
12Kokand 191230971424:3934
13Mashal Muborak30861622:4830
14Buxoro30691530:4927
15Xorazm Urganch30761733:3927
16Shortan Guzor30381927:5717