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Stadium Background

Mashujaa vs Singida Black Stars

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Lake Tanganyika Stadium, Kigoma
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Kihimbwa S. In: Mhagama C.
Out: Kihimbwa S.
46' Event
Pipino A.
47' Event
Madeleke S.
Assist: Chanongo H.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Mashujaa and Singida Black Stars finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mashujaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mashujaa
15%
Draws
57%
Singida Black Stars
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Singida Black Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Singida Black Stars come out ahead of Mashujaa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Singida Black Stars's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 16%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashujaa Singida Black Stars
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 15
Draws 8 2
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.61 2.21
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Singida Black Stars
2:1
Apr 16, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Singida Black Stars
1:1
Sep 30, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Mashujaa
1:0
Feb 26, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Mashujaa
3:0
Oct 4, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Singida Black Stars
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mashujaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Madeleke S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lyawatwa H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Singida Black Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Pipino A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashujaa 11 / 100
Singida Black Stars 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashujaa Singida Black Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Singida Black Stars Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Singida Black Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Mashujaa scored in 43% of their last 28 outings.

Mashujaa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mashujaa VS Singida Black Stars
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mashujaa

(Home)
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Mashujaa
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Kagera Sugar
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1
Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0
Mashujaa
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Singida Black Stars

(Away)
13 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0
Al-Ghazala
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
06 Sept
Al-Ghazala
1 : 7
Singida Black Stars
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2
Polisi Tanzania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 6 6 0 0 16:2 18
2 Simba 6 6 0 0 11:2 18
3 Azam 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
4 Singida Black Stars 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
5 Polisi Tanzania 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 Mbeya City 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
7 Dodoma Jiji 6 3 1 2 4:4 10
8 Mashujaa 6 3 0 3 6:6 9
9 Geita Gold 6 2 1 3 9:8 7
10 JKT Tanzania 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Coastal Union 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 TRA United 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 Namungo 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
14 Fountain Gate 6 1 1 4 2:9 4
15 Kagera Sugar 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
16 Pamba 6 0 1 5 4:13 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)