Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mashuk vs Irtysh Omsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Central Stadium, Pyatigorsk
Mashuk Logo

Mashuk

1 - 1
FT
Irtysh Omsk Logo

Irtysh Omsk

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Abazov A.
43' Event
Dorofeev N.
45'
Magomadov C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 game between Mashuk and Irtysh Omsk finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Mashuk
20%
Draws
30%
Irtysh Omsk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mashuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Mashuk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Mashuk taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Mashuk Clean Sheet 68%
Irtysh Omsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashuk Irtysh Omsk
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 17 8
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 0.97 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Irtysh Omsk vs Mashuk
0:2
Apr 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Mashuk vs Irtysh Omsk
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Irtysh Omsk vs Mashuk
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Mashuk vs Irtysh Omsk
3:0
May 19, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Mashuk vs Irtysh Omsk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mashuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Abazov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Irtysh Omsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorofeev N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashuk 95 / 100
Irtysh Omsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashuk Irtysh Omsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mashuk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Irtysh Omsk let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Mashuk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Irtysh Omsk's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mashuk VS Irtysh Omsk
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mashuk

(Home)
27 Sept
Saratov
0 : 0
Mashuk
21 Sept
Mashuk
0 : 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
12 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 1
Mashuk
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
30 Aug
Dynamo Vladivostok
1 : 0
Mashuk
Page 1 of 6

Irtysh Omsk

(Away)
27 Sept
Irtysh Omsk
4 : 0
Dynamo Moscow 2
19 Sept
Irtysh Omsk
0 : 2
Zenit St Petersburg 2
13 Sept
Torpedo Miass
3 : 1
Irtysh Omsk
05 Sept
Irtysh Omsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Stavropol
30 Aug
Tyumen
5 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leningradets 18 10 4 4 23:23 34
2 Tekstilshtik 18 10 2 6 29:18 32
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 18 9 5 4 28:20 32
4 Veles Moscow 18 8 4 6 20:12 28
5 Mashuk 18 5 11 2 20:13 26
6 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 18 6 6 6 21:19 24
7 Kaluga 18 5 5 8 17:20 20
8 Rodina Moscow 2 18 4 7 7 20:23 19
9 Torpedo Miass 18 3 7 8 13:23 16
10 Irtysh Omsk 18 1 7 10 11:31 10
Promotion - FNL (Main)
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Fall Season)