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Mashuk vs Kaluga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Central Stadium, Pyatigorsk
Mashuk Logo

Mashuk

1 - 1
FT
Kaluga Logo

Kaluga

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Torosyan S.
46'
Sub
Shevchenko D. In: Balashov K.
Out: Shevchenko D.
46'
Sub
Balkizov A. In: Pervakov N.
Out: Balkizov A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mashuk
35%
Draws
29%
Kaluga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mashuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Mashuk average 1.14 goals a game right now, well clear of Kaluga's 1.
  • Model gives Mashuk a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Gold form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Mashuk Clean Sheet 68%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashuk Kaluga
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 17 10
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Mashuk
0:0
Aug 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Mashuk vs Kaluga
1:1
Jun 13, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Mashuk
3:0
Mar 1, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Mashuk vs Kaluga
1:1
May 11, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kaluga vs Mashuk
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mashuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Torosyan S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Kaluga Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakharev G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashuk 59 / 100
Kaluga 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashuk Kaluga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mashuk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mashuk has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mashuk's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kaluga conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mashuk VS Kaluga
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mashuk

(Home)
24 Oct
Mashuk
2 : 2
Dynamo Vladivostok
18 Oct
Alania Vladikavkaz
3 : 3
Mashuk
10 Oct
Kaluga
0 : 0
Mashuk
04 Oct
Mashuk
1 : 1
Kirov
27 Sept
Saratov
0 : 0
Mashuk
Page 1 of 6

Kaluga

(Away)
24 Oct
Alania Vladikavkaz
2 : 1
Kaluga
18 Oct
D. Bryansk
1 : 4
Kaluga
14 Oct
Yenisey
2 : 0
Kaluga
10 Oct
Kaluga
0 : 0
Mashuk
04 Oct
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 0
Kaluga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kirov 15 9 3 3 23:13 30
2 Rodina Moscow 2 15 9 3 3 27:16 30
3 Alania Vladikavkaz 15 5 7 3 22:16 22
4 Sibir Novosibirsk 15 5 5 5 19:21 20
5 D. Bryansk 15 5 4 6 15:22 19
6 Dynamo Vladivostok 15 4 6 5 15:14 18
7 Mashuk 15 2 11 2 14:14 17
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 15 1 11 3 14:16 14
9 Saratov 15 2 7 6 13:22 13
10 Kaluga 15 1 7 7 11:19 10
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)