Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mashuk vs Kaluga

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Central Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Koserik N.
31' Event
Matyushenko I.
(Penalty)
36'
Ivanushkin L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mashuk
30%
Draws
34%
Kaluga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mashuk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaluga have won more games recently than Mashuk.
  • Mashuk are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Mashuk Clean Sheet 20%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashuk Kaluga
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 14 7
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Mashuk
3:0
Mar 1, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Mashuk vs Kaluga
1:1
May 11, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kaluga vs Mashuk
1:2
Mar 30, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Mashuk vs Kaluga
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mashuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Gusengadzhiev R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Kaluga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashuk 36 / 100
Kaluga 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashuk Kaluga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mashuk's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Kaluga has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Mashuk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mashuk VS Kaluga
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leningradets18104423:2334
2Tekstilshtik18102629:1832
3Sibir Novosibirsk1895428:2032
4Veles Moscow1884620:1228
5Mashuk18511220:1326
6FC Volgar-Astrakhan1866621:1924
7Kaluga1855817:2020
8Rodina Moscow 21847720:2319
9Torpedo Miass1837813:2316
10Irtysh Omsk18171011:3110