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Mashuk vs Sibir Novosibirsk Prediction & H2H Stats

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Central Stadium, Pyatigorsk
Mashuk Logo

Mashuk

3 - 1
FT
Sibir Novosibirsk Logo

Sibir Novosibirsk

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Stepanov K.
8'
Saygushev E.
10'
Gystarov R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mashuk in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mashuk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mashuk
30%
Draws
47%
Sibir Novosibirsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sibir Novosibirsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Sibir Novosibirsk have won more games recently than Mashuk.
  • Mashuk are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Gold form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Mashuk here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Mashuk Clean Sheet 68%
Sibir Novosibirsk Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashuk Sibir Novosibirsk
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 16 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Mashuk vs Sibir Novosibirsk
3:1
May 31, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Mashuk vs Sibir Novosibirsk
2:0
Apr 12, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Mashuk
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Mashuk vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:0
Jul 27, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Mashuk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mashuk Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogomolov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Selemenev I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sibir Novosibirsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Stepanov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashuk 68 / 100
Sibir Novosibirsk 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashuk Sibir Novosibirsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mashuk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sibir Novosibirsk let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mashuk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mashuk scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Mashuk VS Sibir Novosibirsk
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mashuk

(Home)
27 Sept
Saratov
0 : 0
Mashuk
21 Sept
Mashuk
0 : 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
12 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 1
Mashuk
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
30 Aug
Dynamo Vladivostok
1 : 0
Mashuk
Page 1 of 6

Sibir Novosibirsk

(Away)
04 Oct
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 0
D. Bryansk
27 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
1 : 3
Sibir Novosibirsk
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 12 7 3 2 14:9 24
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
4 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
5 Alania Vladikavkaz 12 3 6 3 16:12 15
6 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
7 Mashuk 12 2 8 2 9:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 12 0 6 6 6:16 6
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)