Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Rudenko V.
(Penalty)
13'
13'
Glushkov N.
25'
25'
Mitrenko S.
AI Match Summary
Tuapse in this FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tuapse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mashuk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tuapse have won more games recently than Mashuk.
- Model gives Mashuk a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Mashuk Clean Sheet 20%
Tuapse Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mashuk | Tuapse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 17 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 22, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Mashuk vs Tuapse
1:3
Nov 1, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Mashuk
3:0
Mar 24, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Mashuk vs Tuapse
4:1
Feb 23, 2021 Club Friendly
Mashuk vs Tuapse
2:0
Aug 29, 2020 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Mashuk
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mashuk Compare
Top Goalscorer Glushkov N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Tuapse Compare
Top Goalscorer Khanmurzaev M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kambolov Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mashuk 85 / 100
Tuapse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mashuk Tuapse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mashuk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tuapse has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Mashuk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Tuapse lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mashuk VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mashuk
(Home) 21 Sept
Mashuk
0 : 0 FC Volgar-Astrakhan
12 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 1 Mashuk
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1 Sibir Novosibirsk
30 Aug
Dynamo Vladivostok
1 : 0 Mashuk
22 Aug
Mashuk
0 : 0 Alania Vladikavkaz
Page 1 of 7
21 Sept
Mashuk
0 : 0 FC Volgar-Astrakhan
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1 Sibir Novosibirsk
22 Aug
Mashuk
0 : 0 Alania Vladikavkaz
16 Aug
Mashuk
1 : 1 Kaluga
02 Aug
Mashuk
1 : 1 Saratov
Page 1 of 4
Tuapse
(Away) 05 Jun
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
5 : 0 Tuapse
30 May
Tuapse
0 : 4 Spartak Nalchik
22 May
Mashuk
1 : 3 Tuapse
16 May
Tuapse
0 : 5 Legion Makhachkala
12 May
Biolog
1 : 0 Tuapse
Page 1 of 6
05 Jun
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
5 : 0 Tuapse
22 May
Mashuk
1 : 3 Tuapse
12 May
Biolog
1 : 0 Tuapse
30 Apr
Chernomorets Novorossijsk
2 : 0 Tuapse
18 Apr
SKA Rostov-on-Don
4 : 0 Tuapse
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 32 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 62:12 | 80 |
| 2 | SKA Rostov-on-Don | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71:22 | 76 |
| 3 | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 88:24 | 70 |
| 4 | Forte Taganrog | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 55:31 | 61 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 70:35 | 60 |
| 6 | Kuban Kholding | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 46:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Legion Makhachkala | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 44:31 | 46 |
| 8 | Biolog | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 50:45 | 44 |
| 9 | Anzhi | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 46:35 | 42 |
| 10 | Spartak Nalchik | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 32:28 | 40 |
| 11 | Maykop | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 25:44 | 32 |
| 12 | Mashuk | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 31 |
| 13 | Dynamo Stavropol | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 40:57 | 29 |
| 14 | Tuapse | 32 | 12 | 2 | 18 | 36:60 | 29 |
| 15 | R. Volgograd 2 | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 26:74 | 21 |
| 16 | Alania 2 | 32 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 32:97 | 12 |
| 17 | Yessentuki | 32 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 16:106 | 10 |
Promotion - FNL 2022/2023 (Main)
