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Matagalpa vs Diriangen Prediction & H2H Stats

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Moncada J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Diriangen advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Matagalpa
15%
Draws
50%
Diriangen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Diriangen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Diriangen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Diriangen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Diriangen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Diriangen, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Diriangen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Matagalpa Clean Sheet 14%
Diriangen Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matagalpa Diriangen
Matches Played 32 37
Wins 10 23
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.38 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Liga Primera
Matagalpa vs Diriangen
0:3
May 7, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Matagalpa
3:1
May 3, 2026 Liga Primera
Matagalpa vs Diriangen
0:1
Apr 9, 2026 Liga Primera
Matagalpa vs Diriangen
2:3
Feb 7, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Matagalpa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matagalpa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Diriangen Compare

Top Goalscorer Moncada J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matagalpa 10 / 100
Diriangen 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matagalpa Diriangen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diriangen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Matagalpa scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Diriangen conceded in 68% of 37 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Matagalpa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Matagalpa VS Diriangen
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Matagalpa

(Home)
07 Sept
Matagalpa
0 : 3
Diriangen
04 Sept
Matagalpa
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
30 Aug
Matagalpa
0 : 1
Rancho Santana
23 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Matagalpa
16 Aug
Matagalpa
1 : 0
San Marcos
Page 1 of 7

Diriangen

(Away)
10 Sept
Sport Sebaco
0 : 1
Diriangen
07 Sept
Matagalpa
0 : 3
Diriangen
03 Sept
Managua FC
3 : 3
Diriangen
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
23 Aug
Esteli
0 : 2
Diriangen
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Diriangen -
TBD -
Managua FC 2
Matagalpa 4
Esteli -
TBD -
Jalapa 3
Walter Ferreti 0
Semi-finals
Diriangen 4
Matagalpa 1
Esteli 3
Jalapa 1
Final
Diriangen 2
Esteli 3