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Matagalpa vs UNAN-Managua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Da Silva R.

AI Match Summary

Matagalpa in this Liga Primera matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matagalpa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Matagalpa
15%
Draws
42%
UNAN-Managua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Matagalpa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • UNAN-Managua have won more games recently than Matagalpa.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Matagalpa Clean Sheet 20%
UNAN-Managua Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matagalpa UNAN-Managua
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Liga Primera
Matagalpa vs UNAN-Managua
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Matagalpa
2:1
Feb 4, 2026 Liga Primera
Matagalpa vs UNAN-Managua
0:0
Oct 14, 2025 Liga Primera
Matagalpa vs UNAN-Managua
4:0
Aug 2, 2025 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Matagalpa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matagalpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

UNAN-Managua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matagalpa 32 / 100
UNAN-Managua 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matagalpa UNAN-Managua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matagalpa found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: UNAN-Managua conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Matagalpa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Matagalpa VS UNAN-Managua
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Matagalpa

(Home)
07 Sept
Matagalpa
0 : 3
Diriangen
04 Sept
Matagalpa
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
30 Aug
Matagalpa
0 : 1
Rancho Santana
23 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Matagalpa
16 Aug
Matagalpa
1 : 0
San Marcos
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UNAN-Managua

(Away)
08 Oct
UNAN-Managua
1 : 0
Esteli
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
04 Sept
Matagalpa
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
31 Aug
UNAN-Managua
0 : 2
Managua FC
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 10 8 2 0 33:10 26
2 Diriangen 10 8 2 0 22:7 26
3 UNAN-Managua 10 6 2 2 12:7 20
4 Esteli 10 5 3 2 17:7 18
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 10 3 1 6 9:16 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 10 2 2 6 14:18 8
9 Jalapa 10 1 2 7 6:16 5
10 Rancho Santana 10 1 2 7 8:20 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)