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Matanzas vs Artemisa

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Matanzas in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matanzas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Matanzas
15%
Draws
49%
Artemisa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Artemisa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Matanzas haven't matched Artemisa's recent run of results.
  • Matanzas are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Artemisa have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Matanzas Clean Sheet 20%
Artemisa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matanzas Artemisa
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2023 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs Artemisa
2:0
Apr 23, 2022 Liga Nacional
Artemisa vs Matanzas
6:1
Mar 5, 2022 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs Artemisa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matanzas 40 / 100
Artemisa 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matanzas Artemisa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matanzas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Artemisa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Artemisa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Matanzas scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Matanzas VS Artemisa
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Matanzas

(Home)
14 Jun
Mayabeque Guines
3 : 0
Matanzas
07 Jun
Matanzas
1 : 2
FC Cienfuegos
24 May
FC Villa Clara
1 : 0
Matanzas
17 May
Matanzas
1 : 0
FC Villa Clara
10 May
FC Cienfuegos
1 : 0
Matanzas
Page 1 of 6

Artemisa

(Away)
09 Jul
FC Villa Clara
1 : 1
Artemisa
05 Jul
Artemisa
2 : 3
FC Villa Clara
18 Jun
Artemisa
0 : 3
Isla de La Juventud
07 Jun
Artemisa
2 : 1
Pinar del Rio
28 May
FC La Habana
5 : 2
Artemisa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cienfuegos 7 6 1 0 14:2 19
2 FC La Habana 7 5 2 0 11:2 17
3 Matanzas 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
4 Artemisa 7 3 1 3 15:8 10
5 FC Villa Clara 7 2 1 4 6:11 7
6 Isla de La Juventud 7 2 1 4 5:10 7
7 Pinar del Rio 7 1 2 4 6:15 5
8 Mayabeque Guines 7 1 0 6 4:16 3
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Santiago de Cuba 7 4 2 1 14:5 14
2 FC Guantanamo 7 4 2 1 12:6 14
3 FC Holguin 7 4 1 2 9:7 13
4 FC Camaguey 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 CF Granma 7 3 0 4 5:9 9
6 FC Sancti Spiritus 7 2 1 4 2:6 7
7 FC Ciego de Avila 7 2 1 4 5:10 7
8 Las Tunas 7 0 2 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)