Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Matanzas in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matanzas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mayabeque Guines
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Matanzas have won more games recently than Mayabeque Guines.
- Matanzas are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Matanzas Clean Sheet 20%
Mayabeque Guines Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Matanzas | Mayabeque Guines |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 2.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
Mayabeque Guines vs Matanzas
3:0
May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs Mayabeque Guines
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional
Mayabeque Guines vs Matanzas
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs Mayabeque Guines
4:1
Mar 1, 2023 Liga Nacional
Matanzas vs Mayabeque Guines
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Matanzas 40 / 100
Mayabeque Guines 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Matanzas Mayabeque Guines
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Matanzas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mayabeque Guines let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Mayabeque Guines has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Matanzas's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Matanzas VS Mayabeque Guines
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Matanzas
(Home) 14 Jun
Mayabeque Guines
3 : 0 Matanzas
07 Jun
Matanzas
1 : 2 FC Cienfuegos
24 May
FC Villa Clara
1 : 0 Matanzas
17 May
Matanzas
1 : 0 FC Villa Clara
10 May
FC Cienfuegos
1 : 0 Matanzas
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07 Jun
Matanzas
1 : 2 FC Cienfuegos
17 May
Matanzas
1 : 0 FC Villa Clara
03 May
Matanzas
1 : 0 Mayabeque Guines
12 Apr
Matanzas
0 : 0 FC Cienfuegos
22 Mar
Matanzas
0 : 1 FC Villa Clara
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Mayabeque Guines
(Away) 14 Jun
Mayabeque Guines
3 : 0 Matanzas
07 Jun
FC Villa Clara
3 : 0 Mayabeque Guines
24 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 3 FC Cienfuegos
17 May
FC Cienfuegos
2 : 2 Mayabeque Guines
10 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 2 FC Villa Clara
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07 Jun
FC Villa Clara
3 : 0 Mayabeque Guines
17 May
FC Cienfuegos
2 : 2 Mayabeque Guines
03 May
Matanzas
1 : 0 Mayabeque Guines
12 Apr
FC Villa Clara
4 : 1 Mayabeque Guines
22 Mar
FC Cienfuegos
5 : 0 Mayabeque Guines
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC La Habana | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 2 | Artemisa | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 16 |
| 3 | Isla de La Juventud | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 4 | Pinar del Rio | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:13 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Cienfuegos | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Villa Clara | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Matanzas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 4 | Mayabeque Guines | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:26 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Tunas | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20:13 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Ciego de Avila | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 3 | FC Camaguey | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 4 | FC Sancti Spiritus | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Guantanamo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25:6 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Santiago de Cuba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 3 | FC Holguin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 4 | CF Granma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Clausura - Play In)
